Current short-term forecasts from NOAA and supporting models show a primary driver of mid-80s highs for New York City on September 1, with highs near 86°F amid humid conditions, southwest winds, and a 60-70% chance of showers and thunderstorms that could suppress peak readings. This aligns with the market's leading 86-87°F bin at 31.5% implied probability, ahead of 84-85°F, as cloud cover and precipitation limit daytime heating despite seasonal norms near 80°F. Model consensus points to modest variability based on storm timing and coverage, with final NWS updates and real-time observations likely to resolve the narrow range before market close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in NYC on September 1?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 1?
86-87°F 30%
84-85°F 23%
88-89°F 20%
80-81°F 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
23%
86-87°F
30%
88-89°F
20%
90-91°F
10%
92°F or higher
2%
86-87°F 30%
84-85°F 23%
88-89°F 20%
80-81°F 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
73°F or below
$0 KL.
1%
74-75°F
$5 KL.
1%
76-77°F
$0 KL.
4%
78-79°F
$7 KL.
3%
80-81°F
$0 KL.
19%
82-83°F
$94 KL.
14%
84-85°F
$14 KL.
23%
86-87°F
$55 KL.
30%
88-89°F
$195 KL.
20%
90-91°F
$37 KL.
10%
92°F or higher
$32 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from NOAA and supporting models show a primary driver of mid-80s highs for New York City on September 1, with highs near 86°F amid humid conditions, southwest winds, and a 60-70% chance of showers and thunderstorms that could suppress peak readings. This aligns with the market's leading 86-87°F bin at 31.5% implied probability, ahead of 84-85°F, as cloud cover and precipitation limit daytime heating despite seasonal norms near 80°F. Model consensus points to modest variability based on storm timing and coverage, with final NWS updates and real-time observations likely to resolve the narrow range before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$440Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from NOAA and supporting models show a primary driver of mid-80s highs for New York City on September 1, with highs near 86°F amid humid conditions, southwest winds, and a 60-70% chance of showers and thunderstorms that could suppress peak readings. This aligns with the market's leading 86-87°F bin at 31.5% implied probability, ahead of 84-85°F, as cloud cover and precipitation limit daytime heating despite seasonal norms near 80°F. Model consensus points to modest variability based on storm timing and coverage, with final NWS updates and real-time observations likely to resolve the narrow range before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$440Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecasts from NOAA and supporting models show a primary driver of mid-80s highs for New York City on September 1, with highs near 86°F amid humid conditions, southwest winds, and a 60-70% chance of showers and thunderstorms that could suppress peak readings. This aligns with the market's leading 86-87°F bin at 31.5% implied probability, ahead of 84-85°F, as cloud cover and precipitation limit daytime heating despite seasonal norms near 80°F. Model consensus points to modest variability based on storm timing and coverage, with final NWS updates and real-time observations likely to resolve the narrow range before market close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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