Current ensemble forecasts from major models place Milan's peak temperature on August 30 in the 29–31°C range under stable high pressure, light winds, and mostly clear skies that favor strong daytime heating. Trader consensus reflects this narrow spread, with 30°C holding the slight edge due to minor model differences in maximum timing and boundary-layer mixing. Official Italian meteorological guidance and global runs show limited day-to-day variability in the current synoptic pattern, keeping probabilities tightly bunched while acknowledging typical short-range forecast uncertainty in peak values. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data for refining these outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Milan on August 30?
30°C 44%
29°C 36%
31°C 17%
32°C 8%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
36%
30°C
44%
31°C
17%
32°C
8%
33°C or higher
8%
30°C 44%
29°C 36%
31°C 17%
32°C 8%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
36%
30°C
44%
31°C
17%
32°C
8%
33°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major models place Milan's peak temperature on August 30 in the 29–31°C range under stable high pressure, light winds, and mostly clear skies that favor strong daytime heating. Trader consensus reflects this narrow spread, with 30°C holding the slight edge due to minor model differences in maximum timing and boundary-layer mixing. Official Italian meteorological guidance and global runs show limited day-to-day variability in the current synoptic pattern, keeping probabilities tightly bunched while acknowledging typical short-range forecast uncertainty in peak values. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data for refining these outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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