Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on September 1 indicate partly cloudy skies with a high near 65°F under moderate southwest onshore flow, keeping the marine layer in place and limiting daytime heating. This coastal regime, typical for early September, produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 66–71°F as traders weigh potential for brief afternoon clearing versus persistent stratus. Key differentiators among the leading bins include exact wind direction and timing of any marine-layer erosion, which can shift peak temperatures by 2–4°F. Historical analogs show September 1 averages near 70°F, but current model consensus favors the cooler side absent strong offshore flow. Final NWS observations will resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 1?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 1?
68-69°F 37%
66-67°F 25%
70-71°F 23%
62-63°F 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
59°F or below
3%
60-61°F
6%
62-63°F
16%
64-65°F
11%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
4%
78°F or higher
1%
68-69°F 37%
66-67°F 25%
70-71°F 23%
62-63°F 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
59°F or below
$0 KL.
3%
60-61°F
$0 KL.
6%
62-63°F
$0 KL.
16%
64-65°F
$31 KL.
11%
66-67°F
$129 KL.
25%
68-69°F
$18 KL.
26%
70-71°F
$0 KL.
23%
72-73°F
$6 KL.
12%
74-75°F
$200 KL.
7%
76-77°F
$5 KL.
4%
78°F or higher
$0 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on September 1 indicate partly cloudy skies with a high near 65°F under moderate southwest onshore flow, keeping the marine layer in place and limiting daytime heating. This coastal regime, typical for early September, produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 66–71°F as traders weigh potential for brief afternoon clearing versus persistent stratus. Key differentiators among the leading bins include exact wind direction and timing of any marine-layer erosion, which can shift peak temperatures by 2–4°F. Historical analogs show September 1 averages near 70°F, but current model consensus favors the cooler side absent strong offshore flow. Final NWS observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 30, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$390Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 7:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on September 1 indicate partly cloudy skies with a high near 65°F under moderate southwest onshore flow, keeping the marine layer in place and limiting daytime heating. This coastal regime, typical for early September, produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 66–71°F as traders weigh potential for brief afternoon clearing versus persistent stratus. Key differentiators among the leading bins include exact wind direction and timing of any marine-layer erosion, which can shift peak temperatures by 2–4°F. Historical analogs show September 1 averages near 70°F, but current model consensus favors the cooler side absent strong offshore flow. Final NWS observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$390Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 7:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on September 1 indicate partly cloudy skies with a high near 65°F under moderate southwest onshore flow, keeping the marine layer in place and limiting daytime heating. This coastal regime, typical for early September, produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 66–71°F as traders weigh potential for brief afternoon clearing versus persistent stratus. Key differentiators among the leading bins include exact wind direction and timing of any marine-layer erosion, which can shift peak temperatures by 2–4°F. Historical analogs show September 1 averages near 70°F, but current model consensus favors the cooler side absent strong offshore flow. Final NWS observations will resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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