Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models show a marine layer returning to coastal Los Angeles, supporting overnight lows near 64°F on September 1 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southwest winds. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 64.7°F for the date. Trader sentiment remains split across bins because minor variations in marine layer depth, timing of cloud cover, or radiative cooling overnight can easily shift the recorded minimum by 2–4°F, while the market's 30% odds on both sub-58°F and 76°F+ outcomes likely reflect hedging around measurement station specifics or residual model spread. Updated NWS guidance and next-day model runs will further tighten probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 1?
76°F or higher 54%
57°F or below 53%
64-65°F 53%
58-59°F 50%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
57°F or below
53%
58-59°F
50%
60-61°F
50%
62-63°F
26%
64-65°F
53%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
44%
74-75°F
44%
76°F or higher
54%
76°F or higher 54%
57°F or below 53%
64-65°F 53%
58-59°F 50%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
57°F or below
$0 KL.
53%
58-59°F
$0 KL.
50%
60-61°F
$0 KL.
50%
62-63°F
$0 KL.
26%
64-65°F
$20 KL.
53%
66-67°F
$0 KL.
26%
68-69°F
$0 KL.
26%
70-71°F
$0 KL.
26%
72-73°F
$0 KL.
44%
74-75°F
$5 KL.
44%
76°F or higher
$5 KL.
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models show a marine layer returning to coastal Los Angeles, supporting overnight lows near 64°F on September 1 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southwest winds. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 64.7°F for the date. Trader sentiment remains split across bins because minor variations in marine layer depth, timing of cloud cover, or radiative cooling overnight can easily shift the recorded minimum by 2–4°F, while the market's 30% odds on both sub-58°F and 76°F+ outcomes likely reflect hedging around measurement station specifics or residual model spread. Updated NWS guidance and next-day model runs will further tighten probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 30, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$30Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 7:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models show a marine layer returning to coastal Los Angeles, supporting overnight lows near 64°F on September 1 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southwest winds. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 64.7°F for the date. Trader sentiment remains split across bins because minor variations in marine layer depth, timing of cloud cover, or radiative cooling overnight can easily shift the recorded minimum by 2–4°F, while the market's 30% odds on both sub-58°F and 76°F+ outcomes likely reflect hedging around measurement station specifics or residual model spread. Updated NWS guidance and next-day model runs will further tighten probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$30Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 7:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models show a marine layer returning to coastal Los Angeles, supporting overnight lows near 64°F on September 1 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southwest winds. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 64.7°F for the date. Trader sentiment remains split across bins because minor variations in marine layer depth, timing of cloud cover, or radiative cooling overnight can easily shift the recorded minimum by 2–4°F, while the market's 30% odds on both sub-58°F and 76°F+ outcomes likely reflect hedging around measurement station specifics or residual model spread. Updated NWS guidance and next-day model runs will further tighten probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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