Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high around 25–26°C for Ankara on August 30, driven by persistent northerly winds and partial cloud cover that limit daytime heating following cooler conditions on the 29th. Official guidance shows surface highs near 24–26°C under high pressure, with peaks expected in the early afternoon when solar radiation is strongest; slight model spread arises from variations in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Market-implied odds cluster on these values because traders weigh the consensus trajectory against historical late-August baselines near 29°C, while noting that any unexpected clearing could push readings higher and late-day cooling could cap them lower. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on August 30?
25°C 39%
26°C 33%
24°C 14%
27°C 9%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
6%
23°C
5%
24°C
14%
25°C
39%
26°C
33%
27°C
9%
28°C
6%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 39%
26°C 33%
24°C 14%
27°C 9%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
6%
23°C
5%
24°C
14%
25°C
39%
26°C
33%
27°C
9%
28°C
6%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high around 25–26°C for Ankara on August 30, driven by persistent northerly winds and partial cloud cover that limit daytime heating following cooler conditions on the 29th. Official guidance shows surface highs near 24–26°C under high pressure, with peaks expected in the early afternoon when solar radiation is strongest; slight model spread arises from variations in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Market-implied odds cluster on these values because traders weigh the consensus trajectory against historical late-August baselines near 29°C, while noting that any unexpected clearing could push readings higher and late-day cooling could cap them lower. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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