Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate Chicago will experience continued warm advection from the southwest, with overnight lows on September 1 expected near 76–80 °F amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This pattern, driven by high pressure and elevated dew points, suppresses radiational cooling and keeps minimum temperatures well above the early-September climatological average of ~64 °F. Trader consensus reflects model uncertainty in exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passages that could trim a degree or two, producing tightly bunched probabilities across the 67–86 °F range. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings ahead of Labor Day will likely sharpen resolution criteria around observed airport readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Chicago on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on September 1?
67°F or below 59%
86°F or higher 59%
70-71°F 50%
72-73°F 50%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
67°F or below
59%
68-69°F
47%
70-71°F
50%
72-73°F
50%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
49%
80-81°F
50%
82-83°F
43%
84-85°F
43%
86°F or higher
59%
67°F or below 59%
86°F or higher 59%
70-71°F 50%
72-73°F 50%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
67°F or below
$0 KL.
59%
68-69°F
$0 KL.
47%
70-71°F
$0 KL.
50%
72-73°F
$0 KL.
50%
74-75°F
$0 KL.
26%
76-77°F
$0 KL.
26%
78-79°F
$0 KL.
49%
80-81°F
$0 KL.
50%
82-83°F
$0 KL.
43%
84-85°F
$0 KL.
43%
86°F or higher
$0 KL.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate Chicago will experience continued warm advection from the southwest, with overnight lows on September 1 expected near 76–80 °F amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This pattern, driven by high pressure and elevated dew points, suppresses radiational cooling and keeps minimum temperatures well above the early-September climatological average of ~64 °F. Trader consensus reflects model uncertainty in exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passages that could trim a degree or two, producing tightly bunched probabilities across the 67–86 °F range. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings ahead of Labor Day will likely sharpen resolution criteria around observed airport readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 30, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate Chicago will experience continued warm advection from the southwest, with overnight lows on September 1 expected near 76–80 °F amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This pattern, driven by high pressure and elevated dew points, suppresses radiational cooling and keeps minimum temperatures well above the early-September climatological average of ~64 °F. Trader consensus reflects model uncertainty in exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passages that could trim a degree or two, producing tightly bunched probabilities across the 67–86 °F range. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings ahead of Labor Day will likely sharpen resolution criteria around observed airport readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate Chicago will experience continued warm advection from the southwest, with overnight lows on September 1 expected near 76–80 °F amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This pattern, driven by high pressure and elevated dew points, suppresses radiational cooling and keeps minimum temperatures well above the early-September climatological average of ~64 °F. Trader consensus reflects model uncertainty in exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passages that could trim a degree or two, producing tightly bunched probabilities across the 67–86 °F range. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings ahead of Labor Day will likely sharpen resolution criteria around observed airport readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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