Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 29 project a daily minimum of 28°C under a broad low-pressure trough driving scattered showers and thunderstorms, with overnight readings holding near 28–29°C amid high humidity and light southwest winds. Sea-surface temperatures around 27°C and persistently warm soil profiles limit nocturnal radiative cooling in this subtropical summer regime, aligning trader consensus at 95% implied probability for a 28°C low. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 25–26°C, yet current synoptic stability and model consensus reduce odds of sharper drops. A sudden wind shift or localized heavy precipitation could introduce minor cooling, though official station data through evening indicate limited scope for deviation below the forecast threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?
28°C 98.5%
27°C <1%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
$19,799 KL.
$19,799 KL.
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
99%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 98.5%
27°C <1%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
$19,799 KL.
$19,799 KL.
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$273 KL.
<1%
23°C
$209 KL.
<1%
24°C
$1,058 KL.
<1%
25°C
$2,299 KL.
1%
26°C
$2,771 KL.
1%
27°C
$1,827 KL.
1%
28°C
$7,419 KL.
99%
29°C
$3,040 KL.
<1%
30°C
$421 KL.
<1%
31°C
$233 KL.
<1%
32°C or higher
$249 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 29 project a daily minimum of 28°C under a broad low-pressure trough driving scattered showers and thunderstorms, with overnight readings holding near 28–29°C amid high humidity and light southwest winds. Sea-surface temperatures around 27°C and persistently warm soil profiles limit nocturnal radiative cooling in this subtropical summer regime, aligning trader consensus at 95% implied probability for a 28°C low. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 25–26°C, yet current synoptic stability and model consensus reduce odds of sharper drops. A sudden wind shift or localized heavy precipitation could introduce minor cooling, though official station data through evening indicate limited scope for deviation below the forecast threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$19,799Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 29 project a daily minimum of 28°C under a broad low-pressure trough driving scattered showers and thunderstorms, with overnight readings holding near 28–29°C amid high humidity and light southwest winds. Sea-surface temperatures around 27°C and persistently warm soil profiles limit nocturnal radiative cooling in this subtropical summer regime, aligning trader consensus at 95% implied probability for a 28°C low. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 25–26°C, yet current synoptic stability and model consensus reduce odds of sharper drops. A sudden wind shift or localized heavy precipitation could introduce minor cooling, though official station data through evening indicate limited scope for deviation below the forecast threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$19,799Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 29 project a daily minimum of 28°C under a broad low-pressure trough driving scattered showers and thunderstorms, with overnight readings holding near 28–29°C amid high humidity and light southwest winds. Sea-surface temperatures around 27°C and persistently warm soil profiles limit nocturnal radiative cooling in this subtropical summer regime, aligning trader consensus at 95% implied probability for a 28°C low. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 25–26°C, yet current synoptic stability and model consensus reduce odds of sharper drops. A sudden wind shift or localized heavy precipitation could introduce minor cooling, though official station data through evening indicate limited scope for deviation below the forecast threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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