Persistent cloud cover and showers from residual moisture associated with the weakening remnants of Typhoon Saudel (now a low-pressure area northwest of Hong Kong) are the main factors limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 26°C on August 31. High humidity levels (80–95%) and light variable winds further suppress temperature drops, consistent with climatological August lows of 25–27°C at the Hong Kong Observatory. Multiple forecast models show close agreement on unsettled conditions with 60–80% rain probability, keeping the market-implied range tightly clustered between 25–27°C as traders weigh model consensus on exact cooling under these conditions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 31?
26°C 41%
25°C 31%
27°C 26%
24°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
31%
26°C
41%
27°C
26%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 41%
25°C 31%
27°C 26%
24°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
21°C or below
$0 KL.
<1%
22°C
$5 KL.
1%
23°C
$245 KL.
1%
24°C
$98 KL.
6%
25°C
$212 KL.
31%
26°C
$80 KL.
41%
27°C
$211 KL.
26%
28°C
$0 KL.
6%
29°C
$138 KL.
2%
30°C
$5 KL.
1%
31°C or higher
$0 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover and showers from residual moisture associated with the weakening remnants of Typhoon Saudel (now a low-pressure area northwest of Hong Kong) are the main factors limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 26°C on August 31. High humidity levels (80–95%) and light variable winds further suppress temperature drops, consistent with climatological August lows of 25–27°C at the Hong Kong Observatory. Multiple forecast models show close agreement on unsettled conditions with 60–80% rain probability, keeping the market-implied range tightly clustered between 25–27°C as traders weigh model consensus on exact cooling under these conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$994Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover and showers from residual moisture associated with the weakening remnants of Typhoon Saudel (now a low-pressure area northwest of Hong Kong) are the main factors limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 26°C on August 31. High humidity levels (80–95%) and light variable winds further suppress temperature drops, consistent with climatological August lows of 25–27°C at the Hong Kong Observatory. Multiple forecast models show close agreement on unsettled conditions with 60–80% rain probability, keeping the market-implied range tightly clustered between 25–27°C as traders weigh model consensus on exact cooling under these conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$994Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and showers from residual moisture associated with the weakening remnants of Typhoon Saudel (now a low-pressure area northwest of Hong Kong) are the main factors limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 26°C on August 31. High humidity levels (80–95%) and light variable winds further suppress temperature drops, consistent with climatological August lows of 25–27°C at the Hong Kong Observatory. Multiple forecast models show close agreement on unsettled conditions with 60–80% rain probability, keeping the market-implied range tightly clustered between 25–27°C as traders weigh model consensus on exact cooling under these conditions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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