Recent forecasts from GFS model runs and agencies including the Italian Meteorological Service indicate a stable overnight minimum of 21°C in Milan on August 28, driven by a lingering warm, humid air mass, light variable winds, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies following daytime highs near 30–31°C. Multiple sources converge on nighttime lows of 21–22°C with only minor model spread, supporting the market’s 99.5% implied probability for exactly 21°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler northerly flow or unusually clear skies enhancing surface cooling below model consensus, though current observations and short-range guidance show low likelihood of such deviation before midnight.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Milan on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Milan on August 28?
21°C 100.0%
17°C 1.0%
18°C 1.0%
19°C 1.0%
$1,951 KL.
$1,951 KL.
Aug 28, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
17°C 1.0%
18°C 1.0%
19°C 1.0%
$1,951 KL.
$1,951 KL.
Aug 28, 2026
16°C or below
$152 KL.
No
17°C
$185 KL.
No
18°C
$79 KL.
No
19°C
$67 KL.
No
20°C
$109 KL.
No
21°C
$364 KL.
Yes
22°C
$310 KL.
No
23°C
$116 KL.
No
24°C
$295 KL.
No
25°C
$114 KL.
No
26°C or higher
$159 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS model runs and agencies including the Italian Meteorological Service indicate a stable overnight minimum of 21°C in Milan on August 28, driven by a lingering warm, humid air mass, light variable winds, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies following daytime highs near 30–31°C. Multiple sources converge on nighttime lows of 21–22°C with only minor model spread, supporting the market’s 99.5% implied probability for exactly 21°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler northerly flow or unusually clear skies enhancing surface cooling below model consensus, though current observations and short-range guidance show low likelihood of such deviation before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,951Ngày kết thúc
Aug 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS model runs and agencies including the Italian Meteorological Service indicate a stable overnight minimum of 21°C in Milan on August 28, driven by a lingering warm, humid air mass, light variable winds, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies following daytime highs near 30–31°C. Multiple sources converge on nighttime lows of 21–22°C with only minor model spread, supporting the market’s 99.5% implied probability for exactly 21°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler northerly flow or unusually clear skies enhancing surface cooling below model consensus, though current observations and short-range guidance show low likelihood of such deviation before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,951Ngày kết thúc
Aug 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent forecasts from GFS model runs and agencies including the Italian Meteorological Service indicate a stable overnight minimum of 21°C in Milan on August 28, driven by a lingering warm, humid air mass, light variable winds, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies following daytime highs near 30–31°C. Multiple sources converge on nighttime lows of 21–22°C with only minor model spread, supporting the market’s 99.5% implied probability for exactly 21°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler northerly flow or unusually clear skies enhancing surface cooling below model consensus, though current observations and short-range guidance show low likelihood of such deviation before midnight.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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