Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow across the Kanto region have suppressed both daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling in Tokyo on August 29, 2026, anchoring the minimum temperature near 20–21 °C according to Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and numerical models. Official station observations, including Tokyo Haneda data, recorded a low of 20.0 °C amid humid conditions with dew points near 19 °C, aligning closely with climatological late-summer norms for the date. This strong model consensus and real-time verification underpin the market’s 100 % implied probability on 21 °C. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected shift in wind patterns allowing greater nocturnal cooling could still produce a slightly lower reading before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 29?
21°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
22°C <1%
$12,970 KL.
$12,970 KL.
Aug 29, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
22°C <1%
$12,970 KL.
$12,970 KL.
Aug 29, 2026
19°C or below
$712 KL.
No
20°C
$603 KL.
No
21°C
$978 KL.
Yes
22°C
$1,362 KL.
No
23°C
$1,527 KL.
No
24°C
$1,003 KL.
No
25°C
$638 KL.
No
26°C
$1,624 KL.
No
27°C
$1,364 KL.
No
28°C
$1,876 KL.
No
29°C or higher
$1,283 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow across the Kanto region have suppressed both daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling in Tokyo on August 29, 2026, anchoring the minimum temperature near 20–21 °C according to Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and numerical models. Official station observations, including Tokyo Haneda data, recorded a low of 20.0 °C amid humid conditions with dew points near 19 °C, aligning closely with climatological late-summer norms for the date. This strong model consensus and real-time verification underpin the market’s 100 % implied probability on 21 °C. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected shift in wind patterns allowing greater nocturnal cooling could still produce a slightly lower reading before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$12,970Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow across the Kanto region have suppressed both daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling in Tokyo on August 29, 2026, anchoring the minimum temperature near 20–21 °C according to Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and numerical models. Official station observations, including Tokyo Haneda data, recorded a low of 20.0 °C amid humid conditions with dew points near 19 °C, aligning closely with climatological late-summer norms for the date. This strong model consensus and real-time verification underpin the market’s 100 % implied probability on 21 °C. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected shift in wind patterns allowing greater nocturnal cooling could still produce a slightly lower reading before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$12,970Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow across the Kanto region have suppressed both daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling in Tokyo on August 29, 2026, anchoring the minimum temperature near 20–21 °C according to Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and numerical models. Official station observations, including Tokyo Haneda data, recorded a low of 20.0 °C amid humid conditions with dew points near 19 °C, aligning closely with climatological late-summer norms for the date. This strong model consensus and real-time verification underpin the market’s 100 % implied probability on 21 °C. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected shift in wind patterns allowing greater nocturnal cooling could still produce a slightly lower reading before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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