Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a daily maximum near 24°C in Mexico City on September 2, driven by partly cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms typical of the central Mexican rainy season, and the moderating influence of the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Ensemble guidance shows afternoon peaks clustered between 23–25°C, with cloud cover and precipitation limiting stronger surface heating while preventing sharp drops. Historical September averages of 22–23°C provide context, and no significant model shifts have emerged in the latest runs to alter the 24°C bin's lead at 44% implied probability. Traders weigh these factors against potential convective variability that could nudge the exact high.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 2?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 2?
24°C 44%
23°C 26%
26°C or higher 19%
21°C 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
15%
21°C
17%
22°C
17%
23°C
26%
24°C
44%
25°C
17%
26°C or higher
19%
24°C 44%
23°C 26%
26°C or higher 19%
21°C 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
16°C or below
$155 KL.
<1%
17°C
$155 KL.
<1%
18°C
$155 KL.
<1%
19°C
$72 KL.
1%
20°C
$5 KL.
15%
21°C
$16 KL.
17%
22°C
$17 KL.
17%
23°C
$225 KL.
26%
24°C
$63 KL.
44%
25°C
$125 KL.
17%
26°C or higher
$10 KL.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a daily maximum near 24°C in Mexico City on September 2, driven by partly cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms typical of the central Mexican rainy season, and the moderating influence of the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Ensemble guidance shows afternoon peaks clustered between 23–25°C, with cloud cover and precipitation limiting stronger surface heating while preventing sharp drops. Historical September averages of 22–23°C provide context, and no significant model shifts have emerged in the latest runs to alter the 24°C bin's lead at 44% implied probability. Traders weigh these factors against potential convective variability that could nudge the exact high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$994Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a daily maximum near 24°C in Mexico City on September 2, driven by partly cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms typical of the central Mexican rainy season, and the moderating influence of the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Ensemble guidance shows afternoon peaks clustered between 23–25°C, with cloud cover and precipitation limiting stronger surface heating while preventing sharp drops. Historical September averages of 22–23°C provide context, and no significant model shifts have emerged in the latest runs to alter the 24°C bin's lead at 44% implied probability. Traders weigh these factors against potential convective variability that could nudge the exact high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$994Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a daily maximum near 24°C in Mexico City on September 2, driven by partly cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms typical of the central Mexican rainy season, and the moderating influence of the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Ensemble guidance shows afternoon peaks clustered between 23–25°C, with cloud cover and precipitation limiting stronger surface heating while preventing sharp drops. Historical September averages of 22–23°C provide context, and no significant model shifts have emerged in the latest runs to alter the 24°C bin's lead at 44% implied probability. Traders weigh these factors against potential convective variability that could nudge the exact high.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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