Recent forecasts for Hong Kong on September 1 indicate daytime maxima near 30–31 °C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, driven by lingering low-pressure remnants from a tropical depression northwest of the territory. High humidity, reduced solar insolation from cloud cover, and moderate northerly winds limit surface heating compared to clearer conditions that could push readings to 32 °C. Model consensus and climatological baselines for early September—when average highs hover around 30–31 °C—support the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 30 °C and 31 °C. Any shift in convective timing or wind patterns could tip the daily maximum across these thresholds before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 1?
30°C 32%
31°C 31%
32°C 16%
29°C 15%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
15%
30°C
32%
31°C
31%
32°C
16%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 32%
31°C 31%
32°C 16%
29°C 15%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
15%
30°C
32%
31°C
31%
32°C
16%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Hong Kong on September 1 indicate daytime maxima near 30–31 °C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, driven by lingering low-pressure remnants from a tropical depression northwest of the territory. High humidity, reduced solar insolation from cloud cover, and moderate northerly winds limit surface heating compared to clearer conditions that could push readings to 32 °C. Model consensus and climatological baselines for early September—when average highs hover around 30–31 °C—support the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 30 °C and 31 °C. Any shift in convective timing or wind patterns could tip the daily maximum across these thresholds before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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