**Current short-range forecasts from multiple models converge on overnight minimum temperatures of 25–27°C for Hong Kong on September 1, driven by persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and light northeasterly winds that limit radiational cooling.** These conditions, typical of early-autumn transition in the region, produce dew points near 24–25°C and reduce the diurnal temperature range. Recent model consensus shows scattered showers or thunderstorms, which can further suppress minimums by maintaining a moist boundary layer. Historical September climatology places average daily lows around 24–26°C, providing a baseline that aligns with the tight clustering of market probabilities around 25–26°C. Uncertainty remains from possible variations in cloud thickness or timing of any precipitation, which could shift the realized minimum by 1–2°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 1?
26°C 34%
24°C 33%
25°C 28%
27°C 20%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
22°C or below
8%
23°C
19%
24°C
33%
25°C
28%
26°C
34%
27°C
20%
28°C
11%
29°C
19%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 34%
24°C 33%
25°C 28%
27°C 20%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
22°C or below
$0 KL.
8%
23°C
$0 KL.
19%
24°C
$0 KL.
33%
25°C
$0 KL.
28%
26°C
$0 KL.
34%
27°C
$0 KL.
20%
28°C
$0 KL.
11%
29°C
$0 KL.
19%
30°C
$0 KL.
1%
31°C
$0 KL.
<1%
32°C or higher
$0 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Current short-range forecasts from multiple models converge on overnight minimum temperatures of 25–27°C for Hong Kong on September 1, driven by persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and light northeasterly winds that limit radiational cooling.**
These conditions, typical of early-autumn transition in the region, produce dew points near 24–25°C and reduce the diurnal temperature range. Recent model consensus shows scattered showers or thunderstorms, which can further suppress minimums by maintaining a moist boundary layer. Historical September climatology places average daily lows around 24–26°C, providing a baseline that aligns with the tight clustering of market probabilities around 25–26°C. Uncertainty remains from possible variations in cloud thickness or timing of any precipitation, which could shift the realized minimum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Current short-range forecasts from multiple models converge on overnight minimum temperatures of 25–27°C for Hong Kong on September 1, driven by persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and light northeasterly winds that limit radiational cooling.**
These conditions, typical of early-autumn transition in the region, produce dew points near 24–25°C and reduce the diurnal temperature range. Recent model consensus shows scattered showers or thunderstorms, which can further suppress minimums by maintaining a moist boundary layer. Historical September climatology places average daily lows around 24–26°C, providing a baseline that aligns with the tight clustering of market probabilities around 25–26°C. Uncertainty remains from possible variations in cloud thickness or timing of any precipitation, which could shift the realized minimum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Current short-range forecasts from multiple models converge on overnight minimum temperatures of 25–27°C for Hong Kong on September 1, driven by persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and light northeasterly winds that limit radiational cooling.** These conditions, typical of early-autumn transition in the region, produce dew points near 24–25°C and reduce the diurnal temperature range. Recent model consensus shows scattered showers or thunderstorms, which can further suppress minimums by maintaining a moist boundary layer. Historical September climatology places average daily lows around 24–26°C, providing a baseline that aligns with the tight clustering of market probabilities around 25–26°C. Uncertainty remains from possible variations in cloud thickness or timing of any precipitation, which could shift the realized minimum by 1–2°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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