Recent forecasts for Shanghai on September 1 indicate a likely daily high near 30–31°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 44% and 32% implied probability. Numerical weather models reflect typical early-autumn transition conditions in the Yangtze River Delta, where residual summer warmth combines with increasing easterly flow and moisture, moderating peak temperatures through cloud cover and precipitation while keeping values above the historical early-September average of roughly 28–29°C. High humidity and convective activity may further cap extremes, reducing odds of 32°C or higher to single digits. Updated model runs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration in the final 24–48 hours before resolution remain the key variables that could shift trader consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 1?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 1?
30°C 45%
31°C 32%
29°C 17%
32°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
17%
30°C
45%
31°C
32%
32°C
6%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 45%
31°C 32%
29°C 17%
32°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
25°C or below
$366 KL.
<1%
26°C
$262 KL.
1%
27°C
$342 KL.
1%
28°C
$116 KL.
3%
29°C
$248 KL.
17%
30°C
$226 KL.
45%
31°C
$177 KL.
32%
32°C
$120 KL.
6%
33°C
$20 KL.
3%
34°C
$0 KL.
<1%
35°C or higher
$214 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai on September 1 indicate a likely daily high near 30–31°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 44% and 32% implied probability. Numerical weather models reflect typical early-autumn transition conditions in the Yangtze River Delta, where residual summer warmth combines with increasing easterly flow and moisture, moderating peak temperatures through cloud cover and precipitation while keeping values above the historical early-September average of roughly 28–29°C. High humidity and convective activity may further cap extremes, reducing odds of 32°C or higher to single digits. Updated model runs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration in the final 24–48 hours before resolution remain the key variables that could shift trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,091Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai on September 1 indicate a likely daily high near 30–31°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 44% and 32% implied probability. Numerical weather models reflect typical early-autumn transition conditions in the Yangtze River Delta, where residual summer warmth combines with increasing easterly flow and moisture, moderating peak temperatures through cloud cover and precipitation while keeping values above the historical early-September average of roughly 28–29°C. High humidity and convective activity may further cap extremes, reducing odds of 32°C or higher to single digits. Updated model runs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration in the final 24–48 hours before resolution remain the key variables that could shift trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,091Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shanghai on September 1 indicate a likely daily high near 30–31°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 44% and 32% implied probability. Numerical weather models reflect typical early-autumn transition conditions in the Yangtze River Delta, where residual summer warmth combines with increasing easterly flow and moisture, moderating peak temperatures through cloud cover and precipitation while keeping values above the historical early-September average of roughly 28–29°C. High humidity and convective activity may further cap extremes, reducing odds of 32°C or higher to single digits. Updated model runs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration in the final 24–48 hours before resolution remain the key variables that could shift trader consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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