Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies, including WeatherBug, Met Office, and Chinese meteorological sources, indicate a likely daily high of 31–33°C for Shanghai on August 31, 2026, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with southeast winds, moderate humidity, and partial cloud cover. Scattered rain or thunderstorms expected in some outlooks could reduce solar insolation and limit peak heating, favoring the market's leading 32°C outcome at 48% implied probability. Minor model spreads reflect uncertainty in exact timing of cloud breaks or localized heating, while Shanghai's urban heat island and East China Sea influences provide a climatological baseline near 31–32°C. Updated official observations and final forecast runs ahead of resolution will refine these trader-consensus odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 31?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 31?
32°C 48%
31°C 29%
33°C 18%
30°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
7%
31°C
29%
32°C
48%
33°C
18%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 48%
31°C 29%
33°C 18%
30°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
26°C or below
$191 KL.
<1%
27°C
$73 KL.
<1%
28°C
$10 KL.
1%
29°C
$0 KL.
4%
30°C
$57 KL.
7%
31°C
$51 KL.
29%
32°C
$156 KL.
48%
33°C
$135 KL.
18%
34°C
$40 KL.
5%
35°C
$0 KL.
<1%
36°C or higher
$111 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies, including WeatherBug, Met Office, and Chinese meteorological sources, indicate a likely daily high of 31–33°C for Shanghai on August 31, 2026, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with southeast winds, moderate humidity, and partial cloud cover. Scattered rain or thunderstorms expected in some outlooks could reduce solar insolation and limit peak heating, favoring the market's leading 32°C outcome at 48% implied probability. Minor model spreads reflect uncertainty in exact timing of cloud breaks or localized heating, while Shanghai's urban heat island and East China Sea influences provide a climatological baseline near 31–32°C. Updated official observations and final forecast runs ahead of resolution will refine these trader-consensus odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$825Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies, including WeatherBug, Met Office, and Chinese meteorological sources, indicate a likely daily high of 31–33°C for Shanghai on August 31, 2026, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with southeast winds, moderate humidity, and partial cloud cover. Scattered rain or thunderstorms expected in some outlooks could reduce solar insolation and limit peak heating, favoring the market's leading 32°C outcome at 48% implied probability. Minor model spreads reflect uncertainty in exact timing of cloud breaks or localized heating, while Shanghai's urban heat island and East China Sea influences provide a climatological baseline near 31–32°C. Updated official observations and final forecast runs ahead of resolution will refine these trader-consensus odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$825Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies, including WeatherBug, Met Office, and Chinese meteorological sources, indicate a likely daily high of 31–33°C for Shanghai on August 31, 2026, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with southeast winds, moderate humidity, and partial cloud cover. Scattered rain or thunderstorms expected in some outlooks could reduce solar insolation and limit peak heating, favoring the market's leading 32°C outcome at 48% implied probability. Minor model spreads reflect uncertainty in exact timing of cloud breaks or localized heating, while Shanghai's urban heat island and East China Sea influences provide a climatological baseline near 31–32°C. Updated official observations and final forecast runs ahead of resolution will refine these trader-consensus odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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