Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug indicate nighttime lows for Shanghai on August 31 around 26–27°C, driven by persistent subtropical humidity, cloud cover from scattered showers, and light southerly winds that limit radiative cooling. Late-August climatology typically features average lows near 24–25°C, but current patterns with elevated moisture and no approaching cold front are holding overnight temperatures higher, consistent with recent observations of 26–28°C minima. Model consensus shows limited spread in the 25–28°C range ahead of market resolution, with traders weighting the 27°C outcome most heavily amid stable atmospheric conditions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 31?
27°C 53%
28°C 34%
26°C 13%
25°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
8%
26°C
13%
27°C
53%
28°C
34%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 53%
28°C 34%
26°C 13%
25°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
22°C or below
$50 KL.
<1%
23°C
$120 KL.
1%
24°C
$0 KL.
2%
25°C
$0 KL.
8%
26°C
$263 KL.
13%
27°C
$844 KL.
53%
28°C
$270 KL.
34%
29°C
$32 KL.
8%
30°C
$0 KL.
2%
31°C
$168 KL.
1%
32°C or higher
$50 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug indicate nighttime lows for Shanghai on August 31 around 26–27°C, driven by persistent subtropical humidity, cloud cover from scattered showers, and light southerly winds that limit radiative cooling. Late-August climatology typically features average lows near 24–25°C, but current patterns with elevated moisture and no approaching cold front are holding overnight temperatures higher, consistent with recent observations of 26–28°C minima. Model consensus shows limited spread in the 25–28°C range ahead of market resolution, with traders weighting the 27°C outcome most heavily amid stable atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,797Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug indicate nighttime lows for Shanghai on August 31 around 26–27°C, driven by persistent subtropical humidity, cloud cover from scattered showers, and light southerly winds that limit radiative cooling. Late-August climatology typically features average lows near 24–25°C, but current patterns with elevated moisture and no approaching cold front are holding overnight temperatures higher, consistent with recent observations of 26–28°C minima. Model consensus shows limited spread in the 25–28°C range ahead of market resolution, with traders weighting the 27°C outcome most heavily amid stable atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,797Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug indicate nighttime lows for Shanghai on August 31 around 26–27°C, driven by persistent subtropical humidity, cloud cover from scattered showers, and light southerly winds that limit radiative cooling. Late-August climatology typically features average lows near 24–25°C, but current patterns with elevated moisture and no approaching cold front are holding overnight temperatures higher, consistent with recent observations of 26–28°C minima. Model consensus shows limited spread in the 25–28°C range ahead of market resolution, with traders weighting the 27°C outcome most heavily amid stable atmospheric conditions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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