Recent forecasts from European models and Météo-France consensus place Paris's August 31 high near 23–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with light showers possible, reflecting a mild maritime air mass and limited solar heating. This aligns closely with the long-term average high of 23.8°C for the date while current conditions show a slight cooling trend from recent Atlantic lows. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 24°C and 23°C because ensemble runs diverge modestly on exact cloud cover and wind shifts that could add or subtract 1°C, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings. Historical analogs from similar late-August setups indicate outcomes rarely exceed 26°C without strong high-pressure development.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on August 31?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 31?
24°C 48%
23°C 34%
25°C 16%
22°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
7%
22°C
10%
23°C
34%
24°C
36%
25°C
16%
26°C
5%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 48%
23°C 34%
25°C 16%
22°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
19°C or below
$0 KL.
1%
20°C
$0 KL.
4%
21°C
$0 KL.
7%
22°C
$66 KL.
10%
23°C
$4 KL.
34%
24°C
$14 KL.
36%
25°C
$0 KL.
16%
26°C
$3 KL.
5%
27°C
$0 KL.
<1%
28°C
$0 KL.
<1%
29°C or higher
$0 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models and Météo-France consensus place Paris's August 31 high near 23–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with light showers possible, reflecting a mild maritime air mass and limited solar heating. This aligns closely with the long-term average high of 23.8°C for the date while current conditions show a slight cooling trend from recent Atlantic lows. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 24°C and 23°C because ensemble runs diverge modestly on exact cloud cover and wind shifts that could add or subtract 1°C, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings. Historical analogs from similar late-August setups indicate outcomes rarely exceed 26°C without strong high-pressure development.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$87Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models and Météo-France consensus place Paris's August 31 high near 23–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with light showers possible, reflecting a mild maritime air mass and limited solar heating. This aligns closely with the long-term average high of 23.8°C for the date while current conditions show a slight cooling trend from recent Atlantic lows. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 24°C and 23°C because ensemble runs diverge modestly on exact cloud cover and wind shifts that could add or subtract 1°C, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings. Historical analogs from similar late-August setups indicate outcomes rarely exceed 26°C without strong high-pressure development.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$87Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European models and Météo-France consensus place Paris's August 31 high near 23–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with light showers possible, reflecting a mild maritime air mass and limited solar heating. This aligns closely with the long-term average high of 23.8°C for the date while current conditions show a slight cooling trend from recent Atlantic lows. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 24°C and 23°C because ensemble runs diverge modestly on exact cloud cover and wind shifts that could add or subtract 1°C, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings. Historical analogs from similar late-August setups indicate outcomes rarely exceed 26°C without strong high-pressure development.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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