Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies project a daily high of 25°C in Chengdu on October 15 under mostly cloudy skies with possible light rain and light northerly winds. Multiple model runs and real-time observations, including a recorded peak of 25.2°C, align closely with this value, reflecting typical mid-October conditions in the Sichuan basin where autumn highs average 22–26°C amid stable atmospheric patterns. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for 25°C rests on this strong data alignment, though scenarios such as unexpected clearing that boosts solar heating or late frontal shifts could push readings to 26°C or higher before final verification.