Recent National Weather Service model consensus points to moderating lake-breeze effects from Lake Michigan and variable cloud cover as the main drivers keeping Chicago’s August 3 high temperature centered near 78–81 °F. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to exact wind direction and timing of any afternoon clearing, creating the near-even split between the 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F outcomes. Historical August climatology places normal highs around 84 °F, so current cooler steering patterns and limited insolation explain why probabilities cluster below that benchmark while still allowing a small chance for 82 °F or higher if onshore flow weakens. Updated NWS forecast discussions expected later today could narrow the range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chicago on August 3?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 3?
78-79°F 41%
80-81°F 37%
76-77°F 13%
82-83°F 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 3, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
41%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 41%
80-81°F 37%
76-77°F 13%
82-83°F 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 3, 2026
69°F or below
$266 KL.
<1%
70-71°F
$232 KL.
1%
72-73°F
$67 KL.
1%
74-75°F
$291 KL.
3%
76-77°F
$207 KL.
13%
78-79°F
$224 KL.
41%
80-81°F
$1,025 KL.
37%
82-83°F
$177 KL.
10%
84-85°F
$267 KL.
1%
86-87°F
$56 KL.
<1%
88°F or higher
$325 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model consensus points to moderating lake-breeze effects from Lake Michigan and variable cloud cover as the main drivers keeping Chicago’s August 3 high temperature centered near 78–81 °F. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to exact wind direction and timing of any afternoon clearing, creating the near-even split between the 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F outcomes. Historical August climatology places normal highs around 84 °F, so current cooler steering patterns and limited insolation explain why probabilities cluster below that benchmark while still allowing a small chance for 82 °F or higher if onshore flow weakens. Updated NWS forecast discussions expected later today could narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,138Ngày kết thúc
Aug 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model consensus points to moderating lake-breeze effects from Lake Michigan and variable cloud cover as the main drivers keeping Chicago’s August 3 high temperature centered near 78–81 °F. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to exact wind direction and timing of any afternoon clearing, creating the near-even split between the 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F outcomes. Historical August climatology places normal highs around 84 °F, so current cooler steering patterns and limited insolation explain why probabilities cluster below that benchmark while still allowing a small chance for 82 °F or higher if onshore flow weakens. Updated NWS forecast discussions expected later today could narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,138Ngày kết thúc
Aug 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service model consensus points to moderating lake-breeze effects from Lake Michigan and variable cloud cover as the main drivers keeping Chicago’s August 3 high temperature centered near 78–81 °F. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to exact wind direction and timing of any afternoon clearing, creating the near-even split between the 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F outcomes. Historical August climatology places normal highs around 84 °F, so current cooler steering patterns and limited insolation explain why probabilities cluster below that benchmark while still allowing a small chance for 82 °F or higher if onshore flow weakens. Updated NWS forecast discussions expected later today could narrow the range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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