Current short-range forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models place London's August 2 daytime maximum near 26–28°C under building high pressure and southerly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 26°C (32.5% implied probability) and 27°C (23.5%). These conditions favor above-average warmth for early August but lack the strong subtropical ridge needed for 29°C+ extremes, while variable cloud and light winds keep sub-25°C outcomes viable. Model spreads in timing of any frontal passage and urban heat-island effects create the observed uncertainty band, with traders weighting the latest 48-hour guidance and verification trends ahead of final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on August 2?
Highest temperature in London on August 2?
26°C 33%
27°C 24%
28°C 17%
25°C 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 2, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
11%
25°C
15%
26°C
33%
27°C
24%
28°C
17%
29°C
10%
30°C
15%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
2%
26°C 33%
27°C 24%
28°C 17%
25°C 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 2, 2026
22°C or below
$0 KL.
1%
23°C
$0 KL.
2%
24°C
$0 KL.
11%
25°C
$0 KL.
15%
26°C
$155 KL.
33%
27°C
$0 KL.
24%
28°C
$0 KL.
17%
29°C
$5 KL.
10%
30°C
$15 KL.
15%
31°C
$0 KL.
2%
32°C or higher
$0 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models place London's August 2 daytime maximum near 26–28°C under building high pressure and southerly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 26°C (32.5% implied probability) and 27°C (23.5%). These conditions favor above-average warmth for early August but lack the strong subtropical ridge needed for 29°C+ extremes, while variable cloud and light winds keep sub-25°C outcomes viable. Model spreads in timing of any frontal passage and urban heat-island effects create the observed uncertainty band, with traders weighting the latest 48-hour guidance and verification trends ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$175Ngày kết thúc
Aug 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models place London's August 2 daytime maximum near 26–28°C under building high pressure and southerly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 26°C (32.5% implied probability) and 27°C (23.5%). These conditions favor above-average warmth for early August but lack the strong subtropical ridge needed for 29°C+ extremes, while variable cloud and light winds keep sub-25°C outcomes viable. Model spreads in timing of any frontal passage and urban heat-island effects create the observed uncertainty band, with traders weighting the latest 48-hour guidance and verification trends ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$175Ngày kết thúc
Aug 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models place London's August 2 daytime maximum near 26–28°C under building high pressure and southerly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 26°C (32.5% implied probability) and 27°C (23.5%). These conditions favor above-average warmth for early August but lack the strong subtropical ridge needed for 29°C+ extremes, while variable cloud and light winds keep sub-25°C outcomes viable. Model spreads in timing of any frontal passage and urban heat-island effects create the observed uncertainty band, with traders weighting the latest 48-hour guidance and verification trends ahead of final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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