Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate overnight lows near 26°C for July 31 amid typical summer monsoon flow and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Subtropical conditions and seasonal warming trends support minimums in the 25–27°C range, with model consensus showing little deviation from climatological averages around 26°C. Recent observations and short-range guidance reveal no significant cold fronts or enhanced cloud cover that would push temperatures lower, keeping 26°C as the market leader while nearby outcomes like 25°C and 27°C reflect forecast uncertainty bands.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 31?
26°C 54%
25°C 25%
27°C 16%
24°C 8%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
25%
26°C
54%
27°C
16%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 54%
25°C 25%
27°C 16%
24°C 8%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
25%
26°C
54%
27°C
16%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate overnight lows near 26°C for July 31 amid typical summer monsoon flow and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Subtropical conditions and seasonal warming trends support minimums in the 25–27°C range, with model consensus showing little deviation from climatological averages around 26°C. Recent observations and short-range guidance reveal no significant cold fronts or enhanced cloud cover that would push temperatures lower, keeping 26°C as the market leader while nearby outcomes like 25°C and 27°C reflect forecast uncertainty bands.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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