The anticipated influx of cooler northern air masses combined with widespread cloud cover and precipitation on September 10 is the dominant driver behind trader focus on 29–31°C outcomes for Chongqing’s daily maximum. Recent forecasts from regional models highlight a sharp break from the prior multi-day heatwave exceeding 35°C, as increased humidity, reduced insolation, and southerly flow moderate peak temperatures within the Sichuan Basin’s topography. Minor spreads among leading probabilities reflect uncertainty in exact rain timing and convective intensity, which could shift the high by 1–2°C depending on whether clearing occurs before or after peak heating hours. Updated guidance from official meteorological services will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 10?
30°C 33%
31°C 24%
29°C 16%
28°C 9%
$14,450 KL.
$14,450 KL.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
9%
29°C
16%
30°C
33%
31°C
24%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 33%
31°C 24%
29°C 16%
28°C 9%
$14,450 KL.
$14,450 KL.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
9%
29°C
16%
30°C
33%
31°C
24%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The anticipated influx of cooler northern air masses combined with widespread cloud cover and precipitation on September 10 is the dominant driver behind trader focus on 29–31°C outcomes for Chongqing’s daily maximum. Recent forecasts from regional models highlight a sharp break from the prior multi-day heatwave exceeding 35°C, as increased humidity, reduced insolation, and southerly flow moderate peak temperatures within the Sichuan Basin’s topography. Minor spreads among leading probabilities reflect uncertainty in exact rain timing and convective intensity, which could shift the high by 1–2°C depending on whether clearing occurs before or after peak heating hours. Updated guidance from official meteorological services will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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