**Cloud cover, light precipitation, and a post-frontal cooling trend are the main drivers keeping trader-implied probabilities clustered around 24–26 °C for Chongqing’s September 11 maximum.** Official and model guidance issued on September 10 shows mostly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or drizzle, especially in western and northeastern districts, which limits daytime solar heating and caps afternoon temperatures. Recent observations confirm the shift: highs on the 9th–10th reached 28–29 °C before dropping under the influence of stronger northerly or southwesterly flow and increased moisture. Forecast spreads across sources illustrate the uncertainty—some runs peak near 24–26 °C while others briefly touch 28–29 °C if breaks in cloud allow stronger insolation. High humidity (often 60–80 %) and light winds further moderate extremes. With resolution hinging on the single highest official station reading, small differences in timing of any clearing or shower activity explain why 25 °C and 26 °C lead the market while lower and higher buckets remain competitive. Updated model runs and the next China Meteorological Administration briefing are the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 11?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 11?
25°C 29%
26°C 20%
23°C or below 20%
24°C 20%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 11, 2026
23°C or below
20%
24°C
20%
25°C
29%
26°C
20%
27°C
7%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
25°C 29%
26°C 20%
23°C or below 20%
24°C 20%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 11, 2026
23°C or below
$1,977 KL.
20%
24°C
$597 KL.
20%
25°C
$801 KL.
29%
26°C
$201 KL.
20%
27°C
$291 KL.
7%
28°C
$410 KL.
4%
29°C
$209 KL.
4%
30°C
$83 KL.
2%
31°C
$176 KL.
<1%
32°C
$266 KL.
<1%
33°C or higher
$297 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover, light precipitation, and a post-frontal cooling trend are the main drivers keeping trader-implied probabilities clustered around 24–26 °C for Chongqing’s September 11 maximum.**
Official and model guidance issued on September 10 shows mostly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or drizzle, especially in western and northeastern districts, which limits daytime solar heating and caps afternoon temperatures. Recent observations confirm the shift: highs on the 9th–10th reached 28–29 °C before dropping under the influence of stronger northerly or southwesterly flow and increased moisture.
Forecast spreads across sources illustrate the uncertainty—some runs peak near 24–26 °C while others briefly touch 28–29 °C if breaks in cloud allow stronger insolation. High humidity (often 60–80 %) and light winds further moderate extremes. With resolution hinging on the single highest official station reading, small differences in timing of any clearing or shower activity explain why 25 °C and 26 °C lead the market while lower and higher buckets remain competitive. Updated model runs and the next China Meteorological Administration briefing are the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,307Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover, light precipitation, and a post-frontal cooling trend are the main drivers keeping trader-implied probabilities clustered around 24–26 °C for Chongqing’s September 11 maximum.**
Official and model guidance issued on September 10 shows mostly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or drizzle, especially in western and northeastern districts, which limits daytime solar heating and caps afternoon temperatures. Recent observations confirm the shift: highs on the 9th–10th reached 28–29 °C before dropping under the influence of stronger northerly or southwesterly flow and increased moisture.
Forecast spreads across sources illustrate the uncertainty—some runs peak near 24–26 °C while others briefly touch 28–29 °C if breaks in cloud allow stronger insolation. High humidity (often 60–80 %) and light winds further moderate extremes. With resolution hinging on the single highest official station reading, small differences in timing of any clearing or shower activity explain why 25 °C and 26 °C lead the market while lower and higher buckets remain competitive. Updated model runs and the next China Meteorological Administration briefing are the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$5,307Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Cloud cover, light precipitation, and a post-frontal cooling trend are the main drivers keeping trader-implied probabilities clustered around 24–26 °C for Chongqing’s September 11 maximum.** Official and model guidance issued on September 10 shows mostly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or drizzle, especially in western and northeastern districts, which limits daytime solar heating and caps afternoon temperatures. Recent observations confirm the shift: highs on the 9th–10th reached 28–29 °C before dropping under the influence of stronger northerly or southwesterly flow and increased moisture. Forecast spreads across sources illustrate the uncertainty—some runs peak near 24–26 °C while others briefly touch 28–29 °C if breaks in cloud allow stronger insolation. High humidity (often 60–80 %) and light winds further moderate extremes. With resolution hinging on the single highest official station reading, small differences in timing of any clearing or shower activity explain why 25 °C and 26 °C lead the market while lower and higher buckets remain competitive. Updated model runs and the next China Meteorological Administration briefing are the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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