Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate persistent rain and a cold front arriving from the north, driving daytime highs toward 22–23°C on September 10 by limiting solar heating and enhancing evaporative cooling. Official guidance from regional meteorological sources highlights overcast skies, moderate to heavy precipitation, and northerly winds that advect cooler air into the Sichuan Basin, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 22°C and 23°C. Model consensus shows limited warming potential under these conditions, though slight variations in rainfall timing or intensity could shift the observed maximum by 1–2°C. Final resolution will depend on verified readings from local surface stations once the day concludes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 10?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 10?
23°C 33%
22°C 29%
24°C 17%
21°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
5%
21°C
12%
22°C
29%
23°C
33%
24°C
17%
25°C
9%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 33%
22°C 29%
24°C 17%
21°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
18°C or below
$375 KL.
<1%
19°C
$1,111 KL.
<1%
20°C
$324 KL.
5%
21°C
$854 KL.
12%
22°C
$1,790 KL.
29%
23°C
$839 KL.
33%
24°C
$486 KL.
17%
25°C
$750 KL.
9%
26°C
$238 KL.
4%
27°C
$1,047 KL.
1%
28°C or higher
$1,212 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate persistent rain and a cold front arriving from the north, driving daytime highs toward 22–23°C on September 10 by limiting solar heating and enhancing evaporative cooling. Official guidance from regional meteorological sources highlights overcast skies, moderate to heavy precipitation, and northerly winds that advect cooler air into the Sichuan Basin, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 22°C and 23°C. Model consensus shows limited warming potential under these conditions, though slight variations in rainfall timing or intensity could shift the observed maximum by 1–2°C. Final resolution will depend on verified readings from local surface stations once the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$9,027Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate persistent rain and a cold front arriving from the north, driving daytime highs toward 22–23°C on September 10 by limiting solar heating and enhancing evaporative cooling. Official guidance from regional meteorological sources highlights overcast skies, moderate to heavy precipitation, and northerly winds that advect cooler air into the Sichuan Basin, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 22°C and 23°C. Model consensus shows limited warming potential under these conditions, though slight variations in rainfall timing or intensity could shift the observed maximum by 1–2°C. Final resolution will depend on verified readings from local surface stations once the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$9,027Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate persistent rain and a cold front arriving from the north, driving daytime highs toward 22–23°C on September 10 by limiting solar heating and enhancing evaporative cooling. Official guidance from regional meteorological sources highlights overcast skies, moderate to heavy precipitation, and northerly winds that advect cooler air into the Sichuan Basin, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 22°C and 23°C. Model consensus shows limited warming potential under these conditions, though slight variations in rainfall timing or intensity could shift the observed maximum by 1–2°C. Final resolution will depend on verified readings from local surface stations once the day concludes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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