Recent forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and international models indicate a high near 27 °C in Madrid on September 9, 2026, driven by northeast winds, partial morning cloud cover, and a 55 % rain probability that limits daytime heating. This places the market’s 69.5 % implied probability on 27 °C in line with observed model consensus, while cooler 26 °C and warmer 28 °C outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 26–28 °C provide context, but today’s northerly flow and modest insolation favor the central bin over extremes. Updated afternoon observations and final AEMET reports will determine resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on September 9?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 9?
27°C 60%
28°C 26%
26°C 11%
29°C 6%
$29,410 KL.
$29,410 KL.
Sep 9, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
11%
27°C
60%
28°C
26%
29°C
6%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
27°C 60%
28°C 26%
26°C 11%
29°C 6%
$29,410 KL.
$29,410 KL.
Sep 9, 2026
24°C or below
$1,271 KL.
<1%
25°C
$2,456 KL.
<1%
26°C
$5,030 KL.
11%
27°C
$6,908 KL.
60%
28°C
$5,454 KL.
26%
29°C
$2,762 KL.
6%
30°C
$2,212 KL.
<1%
31°C
$724 KL.
<1%
32°C
$1,281 KL.
<1%
33°C
$796 KL.
<1%
34°C or higher
$514 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and international models indicate a high near 27 °C in Madrid on September 9, 2026, driven by northeast winds, partial morning cloud cover, and a 55 % rain probability that limits daytime heating. This places the market’s 69.5 % implied probability on 27 °C in line with observed model consensus, while cooler 26 °C and warmer 28 °C outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 26–28 °C provide context, but today’s northerly flow and modest insolation favor the central bin over extremes. Updated afternoon observations and final AEMET reports will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$29,410Ngày kết thúc
Sep 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and international models indicate a high near 27 °C in Madrid on September 9, 2026, driven by northeast winds, partial morning cloud cover, and a 55 % rain probability that limits daytime heating. This places the market’s 69.5 % implied probability on 27 °C in line with observed model consensus, while cooler 26 °C and warmer 28 °C outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 26–28 °C provide context, but today’s northerly flow and modest insolation favor the central bin over extremes. Updated afternoon observations and final AEMET reports will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$29,410Ngày kết thúc
Sep 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and international models indicate a high near 27 °C in Madrid on September 9, 2026, driven by northeast winds, partial morning cloud cover, and a 55 % rain probability that limits daytime heating. This places the market’s 69.5 % implied probability on 27 °C in line with observed model consensus, while cooler 26 °C and warmer 28 °C outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 26–28 °C provide context, but today’s northerly flow and modest insolation favor the central bin over extremes. Updated afternoon observations and final AEMET reports will determine resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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