**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a maximum of 28–29°C in Shanghai on September 9 as the most probable outcome, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on those two results.** Recent northerly winds have driven a noticeable cooling trend, with today’s observed highs near 30–31°C expected to ease under increasing cloud cover and light northerly flow. Official guidance and ensemble runs consistently indicate partly to mostly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation, limiting daytime heating and keeping the peak below the recent seasonal average. Historical September baselines for the region hover near 27–29°C, and current model agreement reinforces the tight clustering around 28°C (52% implied probability) and 29°C (39.5%). Any shift in steering winds or unexpected clearing could nudge readings slightly higher, but the dominant pattern favors the narrow 28–29°C window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
28°C 55%
29°C 40%
27°C 5%
30°C 4%
MỚI
$14,144 KL.
MỚI
$14,144 KL.
Sep 9, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
55%
29°C
40%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 55%
29°C 40%
27°C 5%
30°C 4%
MỚI
$14,144 KL.
MỚI
$14,144 KL.
Sep 9, 2026
24°C or below
$250 KL.
<1%
25°C
$521 KL.
<1%
26°C
$1,145 KL.
1%
27°C
$2,766 KL.
5%
28°C
$3,604 KL.
55%
29°C
$2,297 KL.
40%
30°C
$1,002 KL.
4%
31°C
$1,161 KL.
1%
32°C
$531 KL.
<1%
33°C
$535 KL.
<1%
34°C or higher
$331 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a maximum of 28–29°C in Shanghai on September 9 as the most probable outcome, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on those two results.** Recent northerly winds have driven a noticeable cooling trend, with today’s observed highs near 30–31°C expected to ease under increasing cloud cover and light northerly flow. Official guidance and ensemble runs consistently indicate partly to mostly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation, limiting daytime heating and keeping the peak below the recent seasonal average. Historical September baselines for the region hover near 27–29°C, and current model agreement reinforces the tight clustering around 28°C (52% implied probability) and 29°C (39.5%). Any shift in steering winds or unexpected clearing could nudge readings slightly higher, but the dominant pattern favors the narrow 28–29°C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$14,144Ngày kết thúc
Sep 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a maximum of 28–29°C in Shanghai on September 9 as the most probable outcome, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on those two results.** Recent northerly winds have driven a noticeable cooling trend, with today’s observed highs near 30–31°C expected to ease under increasing cloud cover and light northerly flow. Official guidance and ensemble runs consistently indicate partly to mostly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation, limiting daytime heating and keeping the peak below the recent seasonal average. Historical September baselines for the region hover near 27–29°C, and current model agreement reinforces the tight clustering around 28°C (52% implied probability) and 29°C (39.5%). Any shift in steering winds or unexpected clearing could nudge readings slightly higher, but the dominant pattern favors the narrow 28–29°C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$14,144Ngày kết thúc
Sep 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a maximum of 28–29°C in Shanghai on September 9 as the most probable outcome, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on those two results.** Recent northerly winds have driven a noticeable cooling trend, with today’s observed highs near 30–31°C expected to ease under increasing cloud cover and light northerly flow. Official guidance and ensemble runs consistently indicate partly to mostly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation, limiting daytime heating and keeping the peak below the recent seasonal average. Historical September baselines for the region hover near 27–29°C, and current model agreement reinforces the tight clustering around 28°C (52% implied probability) and 29°C (39.5%). Any shift in steering winds or unexpected clearing could nudge readings slightly higher, but the dominant pattern favors the narrow 28–29°C window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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