Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model runs indicate sunny conditions with light northwest winds for San Francisco on September 7, supporting a daily high most likely in the upper 70s°F amid a stable marine layer. This places the 78-79°F bin at the center of trader-implied odds near 41 percent, followed closely by adjacent 76-77°F and 80-81°F ranges that together capture over 80 percent of probability. Temperatures remain well above the 1991-2020 September 7 average high of 70°F but below historical extremes near 90°F, reflecting modest onshore flow and clear skies rather than heat-wave conditions. Updated afternoon observations and any revisions to boundary-layer mixing in evening model runs could still shift the final verified maximum within the narrow 76-81°F window before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 7?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 7?
78-79°F 41%
80-81°F 22%
76-77°F 22%
82-83°F 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 7, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
41%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 41%
80-81°F 22%
76-77°F 22%
82-83°F 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 7, 2026
69°F or below
$872 KL.
<1%
70-71°F
$26 KL.
2%
72-73°F
$133 KL.
2%
74-75°F
$769 KL.
4%
76-77°F
$1,636 KL.
22%
78-79°F
$1,806 KL.
41%
80-81°F
$1,538 KL.
22%
82-83°F
$1,175 KL.
9%
84-85°F
$783 KL.
2%
86-87°F
$364 KL.
1%
88°F or higher
$220 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model runs indicate sunny conditions with light northwest winds for San Francisco on September 7, supporting a daily high most likely in the upper 70s°F amid a stable marine layer. This places the 78-79°F bin at the center of trader-implied odds near 41 percent, followed closely by adjacent 76-77°F and 80-81°F ranges that together capture over 80 percent of probability. Temperatures remain well above the 1991-2020 September 7 average high of 70°F but below historical extremes near 90°F, reflecting modest onshore flow and clear skies rather than heat-wave conditions. Updated afternoon observations and any revisions to boundary-layer mixing in evening model runs could still shift the final verified maximum within the narrow 76-81°F window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 5, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$9,321Ngày kết thúc
Sep 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 5, 2026, 7:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model runs indicate sunny conditions with light northwest winds for San Francisco on September 7, supporting a daily high most likely in the upper 70s°F amid a stable marine layer. This places the 78-79°F bin at the center of trader-implied odds near 41 percent, followed closely by adjacent 76-77°F and 80-81°F ranges that together capture over 80 percent of probability. Temperatures remain well above the 1991-2020 September 7 average high of 70°F but below historical extremes near 90°F, reflecting modest onshore flow and clear skies rather than heat-wave conditions. Updated afternoon observations and any revisions to boundary-layer mixing in evening model runs could still shift the final verified maximum within the narrow 76-81°F window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$9,321Ngày kết thúc
Sep 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 5, 2026, 7:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model runs indicate sunny conditions with light northwest winds for San Francisco on September 7, supporting a daily high most likely in the upper 70s°F amid a stable marine layer. This places the 78-79°F bin at the center of trader-implied odds near 41 percent, followed closely by adjacent 76-77°F and 80-81°F ranges that together capture over 80 percent of probability. Temperatures remain well above the 1991-2020 September 7 average high of 70°F but below historical extremes near 90°F, reflecting modest onshore flow and clear skies rather than heat-wave conditions. Updated afternoon observations and any revisions to boundary-layer mixing in evening model runs could still shift the final verified maximum within the narrow 76-81°F window before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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