Trader consensus in the Mexico City temperature market clusters tightly around 23–24°C for the September 8 high, reflecting the latest ensemble model guidance from sources such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global systems. During peak rainy season at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, afternoon convective clouds and scattered thunderstorms typically moderate maximum temperatures close to the September climatological average of 23–24°C. Small variations in forecast moisture advection, cloud timing, and insolation across model runs account for the narrow differentiation between the leading outcomes, while the modest probability on 25°C or higher captures scenarios with reduced convection. Updated model cycles in the coming days will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 8?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 8?
24°C 34%
23°C 31%
22°C 17%
25°C or higher 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 8, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
6%
22°C
17%
23°C
31%
24°C
34%
25°C or higher
15%
24°C 34%
23°C 31%
22°C 17%
25°C or higher 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 8, 2026
15°C or below
$437 KL.
<1%
16°C
$531 KL.
<1%
17°C
$385 KL.
1%
18°C
$135 KL.
1%
19°C
$155 KL.
1%
20°C
$10 KL.
2%
21°C
$10 KL.
6%
22°C
$43 KL.
17%
23°C
$103 KL.
31%
24°C
$243 KL.
34%
25°C or higher
$126 KL.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Mexico City temperature market clusters tightly around 23–24°C for the September 8 high, reflecting the latest ensemble model guidance from sources such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global systems. During peak rainy season at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, afternoon convective clouds and scattered thunderstorms typically moderate maximum temperatures close to the September climatological average of 23–24°C. Small variations in forecast moisture advection, cloud timing, and insolation across model runs account for the narrow differentiation between the leading outcomes, while the modest probability on 25°C or higher captures scenarios with reduced convection. Updated model cycles in the coming days will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 6, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,177Ngày kết thúc
Sep 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 6, 2026, 8:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Mexico City temperature market clusters tightly around 23–24°C for the September 8 high, reflecting the latest ensemble model guidance from sources such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global systems. During peak rainy season at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, afternoon convective clouds and scattered thunderstorms typically moderate maximum temperatures close to the September climatological average of 23–24°C. Small variations in forecast moisture advection, cloud timing, and insolation across model runs account for the narrow differentiation between the leading outcomes, while the modest probability on 25°C or higher captures scenarios with reduced convection. Updated model cycles in the coming days will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,177Ngày kết thúc
Sep 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 6, 2026, 8:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the Mexico City temperature market clusters tightly around 23–24°C for the September 8 high, reflecting the latest ensemble model guidance from sources such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global systems. During peak rainy season at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, afternoon convective clouds and scattered thunderstorms typically moderate maximum temperatures close to the September climatological average of 23–24°C. Small variations in forecast moisture advection, cloud timing, and insolation across model runs account for the narrow differentiation between the leading outcomes, while the modest probability on 25°C or higher captures scenarios with reduced convection. Updated model cycles in the coming days will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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