Recent model consensus from sources including SMN and international forecasts points to a highest temperature near 23–25°C on September 6 in Mexico City, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 24°C. Afternoon convection and showers tied to low-pressure channels and upper-level troughing are expected to cap afternoon peaks during the rainy season, consistent with September climatology of 23–24°C averages. Persistent regional moisture and variable steering patterns introduce modest uncertainty, with clearer breaks potentially allowing brief warming to 25°C while heavier rainfall could suppress readings toward 23°C. Official SMN updates and refined model runs ahead of the diurnal heating cycle remain key near-term drivers for trader positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 6?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 6?
24°C 44%
25°C 28%
23°C 20%
26°C or higher 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 6, 2026
16°C or below
4%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
6%
23°C
20%
24°C
44%
25°C
28%
26°C or higher
7%
24°C 44%
25°C 28%
23°C 20%
26°C or higher 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 6, 2026
16°C or below
$0 KL.
4%
17°C
$0 KL.
<1%
18°C
$0 KL.
1%
19°C
$0 KL.
1%
20°C
$0 KL.
4%
21°C
$0 KL.
4%
22°C
$66 KL.
6%
23°C
$79 KL.
20%
24°C
$224 KL.
44%
25°C
$385 KL.
28%
26°C or higher
$170 KL.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including SMN and international forecasts points to a highest temperature near 23–25°C on September 6 in Mexico City, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 24°C. Afternoon convection and showers tied to low-pressure channels and upper-level troughing are expected to cap afternoon peaks during the rainy season, consistent with September climatology of 23–24°C averages. Persistent regional moisture and variable steering patterns introduce modest uncertainty, with clearer breaks potentially allowing brief warming to 25°C while heavier rainfall could suppress readings toward 23°C. Official SMN updates and refined model runs ahead of the diurnal heating cycle remain key near-term drivers for trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$925Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including SMN and international forecasts points to a highest temperature near 23–25°C on September 6 in Mexico City, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 24°C. Afternoon convection and showers tied to low-pressure channels and upper-level troughing are expected to cap afternoon peaks during the rainy season, consistent with September climatology of 23–24°C averages. Persistent regional moisture and variable steering patterns introduce modest uncertainty, with clearer breaks potentially allowing brief warming to 25°C while heavier rainfall could suppress readings toward 23°C. Official SMN updates and refined model runs ahead of the diurnal heating cycle remain key near-term drivers for trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$925Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including SMN and international forecasts points to a highest temperature near 23–25°C on September 6 in Mexico City, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 24°C. Afternoon convection and showers tied to low-pressure channels and upper-level troughing are expected to cap afternoon peaks during the rainy season, consistent with September climatology of 23–24°C averages. Persistent regional moisture and variable steering patterns introduce modest uncertainty, with clearer breaks potentially allowing brief warming to 25°C while heavier rainfall could suppress readings toward 23°C. Official SMN updates and refined model runs ahead of the diurnal heating cycle remain key near-term drivers for trader positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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