Forecast models from agencies like Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate the highest temperature in Mexico City on September 4 will likely fall between 26°C and 27°C, with the near-even market split reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range predictions. High elevation around 2,240 meters moderates daytime maxima, while urban heat island effects and variable cloud cover or convective rainfall can shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Recent atmospheric patterns, including moisture influx from the Pacific, introduce model divergence on timing and intensity of afternoon showers. Historical September baselines show typical highs near 23–25°C, but recent years have seen occasional spikes above 26°C under clear, subsident conditions. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 4?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 4?
26°C 42%
27°C 42%
28°C 11%
25°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
42%
27°C
42%
28°C
11%
29°C or higher
2%
26°C 42%
27°C 42%
28°C 11%
25°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
19°C or below
$85 KL.
1%
20°C
$85 KL.
1%
21°C
$85 KL.
1%
22°C
$196 KL.
1%
23°C
$87 KL.
2%
24°C
$125 KL.
3%
25°C
$169 KL.
6%
26°C
$1,280 KL.
42%
27°C
$312 KL.
42%
28°C
$329 KL.
11%
29°C or higher
$119 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate the highest temperature in Mexico City on September 4 will likely fall between 26°C and 27°C, with the near-even market split reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range predictions. High elevation around 2,240 meters moderates daytime maxima, while urban heat island effects and variable cloud cover or convective rainfall can shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Recent atmospheric patterns, including moisture influx from the Pacific, introduce model divergence on timing and intensity of afternoon showers. Historical September baselines show typical highs near 23–25°C, but recent years have seen occasional spikes above 26°C under clear, subsident conditions. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,872Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 8:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate the highest temperature in Mexico City on September 4 will likely fall between 26°C and 27°C, with the near-even market split reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range predictions. High elevation around 2,240 meters moderates daytime maxima, while urban heat island effects and variable cloud cover or convective rainfall can shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Recent atmospheric patterns, including moisture influx from the Pacific, introduce model divergence on timing and intensity of afternoon showers. Historical September baselines show typical highs near 23–25°C, but recent years have seen occasional spikes above 26°C under clear, subsident conditions. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,872Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 8:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate the highest temperature in Mexico City on September 4 will likely fall between 26°C and 27°C, with the near-even market split reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range predictions. High elevation around 2,240 meters moderates daytime maxima, while urban heat island effects and variable cloud cover or convective rainfall can shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Recent atmospheric patterns, including moisture influx from the Pacific, introduce model divergence on timing and intensity of afternoon showers. Historical September baselines show typical highs near 23–25°C, but recent years have seen occasional spikes above 26°C under clear, subsident conditions. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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