Current GFS and ensemble forecasts position a 25°C high as the most probable outcome for Paris on September 2, with afternoon peaks near that level under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure near 1022–1023 hPa. Model consensus across sources shows daytime maxima clustered between 24–26°C, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C at 53.5% implied probability and the secondary 24°C and 26°C shares. This aligns with early-September climatology (average high ~23.5°C) while reflecting modest warming from recent high-pressure ridging, with minimal precipitation risk and no strong advection of warmer air. Limited model spread and the proximity of resolution leave little room for significant upward or downward revision before official observations finalize the daily maximum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on September 2?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 2?
25°C 54%
24°C 26%
26°C 16%
23°C 6%
MỚI
$17,848 KL.
MỚI
$17,848 KL.
Sep 2, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
6%
24°C
26%
25°C
54%
26°C
16%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 54%
24°C 26%
26°C 16%
23°C 6%
MỚI
$17,848 KL.
MỚI
$17,848 KL.
Sep 2, 2026
20°C or below
$420 KL.
<1%
21°C
$204 KL.
<1%
22°C
$596 KL.
<1%
23°C
$2,145 KL.
6%
24°C
$5,606 KL.
26%
25°C
$2,976 KL.
54%
26°C
$2,102 KL.
16%
27°C
$1,452 KL.
3%
28°C
$232 KL.
<1%
29°C
$931 KL.
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,191 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current GFS and ensemble forecasts position a 25°C high as the most probable outcome for Paris on September 2, with afternoon peaks near that level under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure near 1022–1023 hPa. Model consensus across sources shows daytime maxima clustered between 24–26°C, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C at 53.5% implied probability and the secondary 24°C and 26°C shares. This aligns with early-September climatology (average high ~23.5°C) while reflecting modest warming from recent high-pressure ridging, with minimal precipitation risk and no strong advection of warmer air. Limited model spread and the proximity of resolution leave little room for significant upward or downward revision before official observations finalize the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$17,848Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current GFS and ensemble forecasts position a 25°C high as the most probable outcome for Paris on September 2, with afternoon peaks near that level under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure near 1022–1023 hPa. Model consensus across sources shows daytime maxima clustered between 24–26°C, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C at 53.5% implied probability and the secondary 24°C and 26°C shares. This aligns with early-September climatology (average high ~23.5°C) while reflecting modest warming from recent high-pressure ridging, with minimal precipitation risk and no strong advection of warmer air. Limited model spread and the proximity of resolution leave little room for significant upward or downward revision before official observations finalize the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$17,848Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current GFS and ensemble forecasts position a 25°C high as the most probable outcome for Paris on September 2, with afternoon peaks near that level under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure near 1022–1023 hPa. Model consensus across sources shows daytime maxima clustered between 24–26°C, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C at 53.5% implied probability and the secondary 24°C and 26°C shares. This aligns with early-September climatology (average high ~23.5°C) while reflecting modest warming from recent high-pressure ridging, with minimal precipitation risk and no strong advection of warmer air. Limited model spread and the proximity of resolution leave little room for significant upward or downward revision before official observations finalize the daily maximum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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