Recent forecasts from models including GFS and UKMO indicate a partly to mostly cloudy day with southwesterly flow and light winds, supporting a maximum near 27–28 °C under moderate insolation. Trader consensus reflected in the 37.5 % implied probability for 27 °C versus 31.5 % for 26 °C and 15.5 % for 28 °C captures lingering uncertainty over afternoon cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Stable high pressure and minimal advection keep temperatures close to seasonal norms without strong warming or cooling signals, while any increase in low-level stratus or earlier wind shift could cap readings at 26 °C. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 12–18 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on September 3?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 3?
27°C 37%
26°C 32%
28°C 16%
25°C or below 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
15%
26°C
32%
27°C
37%
28°C
16%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
1%
27°C 37%
26°C 32%
28°C 16%
25°C or below 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
$1,350 KL.
15%
26°C
$2,519 KL.
32%
27°C
$360 KL.
37%
28°C
$353 KL.
16%
29°C
$482 KL.
5%
30°C
$249 KL.
2%
31°C
$37 KL.
<1%
32°C
$160 KL.
<1%
33°C
$268 KL.
<1%
34°C
$401 KL.
<1%
35°C or higher
$401 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and UKMO indicate a partly to mostly cloudy day with southwesterly flow and light winds, supporting a maximum near 27–28 °C under moderate insolation. Trader consensus reflected in the 37.5 % implied probability for 27 °C versus 31.5 % for 26 °C and 15.5 % for 28 °C captures lingering uncertainty over afternoon cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Stable high pressure and minimal advection keep temperatures close to seasonal norms without strong warming or cooling signals, while any increase in low-level stratus or earlier wind shift could cap readings at 26 °C. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 12–18 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$6,579Ngày kết thúc
Sep 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and UKMO indicate a partly to mostly cloudy day with southwesterly flow and light winds, supporting a maximum near 27–28 °C under moderate insolation. Trader consensus reflected in the 37.5 % implied probability for 27 °C versus 31.5 % for 26 °C and 15.5 % for 28 °C captures lingering uncertainty over afternoon cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Stable high pressure and minimal advection keep temperatures close to seasonal norms without strong warming or cooling signals, while any increase in low-level stratus or earlier wind shift could cap readings at 26 °C. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 12–18 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$6,579Ngày kết thúc
Sep 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and UKMO indicate a partly to mostly cloudy day with southwesterly flow and light winds, supporting a maximum near 27–28 °C under moderate insolation. Trader consensus reflected in the 37.5 % implied probability for 27 °C versus 31.5 % for 26 °C and 15.5 % for 28 °C captures lingering uncertainty over afternoon cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Stable high pressure and minimal advection keep temperatures close to seasonal norms without strong warming or cooling signals, while any increase in low-level stratus or earlier wind shift could cap readings at 26 °C. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 12–18 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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