**Northwesterly winds and spring warming are positioning 15–16°C as the most probable outcomes for Wellington’s maximum temperature on September 2.** Official MetService guidance forecasts a high of 15°C under fine conditions turning to scattered showers, with strong northwesterlies developing that can advect milder air while also enhancing mixing and limiting peak warmth. Complementary model runs from sources such as the UK Met Office align closely at 15°C, consistent with early-spring climatology where daily maxima in Wellington typically range 13–16°C. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors 16°C (64.5%) over 15°C (19%), likely incorporating uncertainty around exact station readings, minor forecast revisions, or brief clearer intervals allowing slightly higher values. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded by 9 a.m. the following day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on September 2?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 2?
16°C 64%
15°C 19%
17°C 17%
18°C 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
19%
16°C
64%
17°C
17%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 64%
15°C 19%
17°C 17%
18°C 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
10°C or below
$315 KL.
<1%
11°C
$334 KL.
<1%
12°C
$407 KL.
<1%
13°C
$299 KL.
1%
14°C
$306 KL.
2%
15°C
$1,948 KL.
19%
16°C
$644 KL.
64%
17°C
$753 KL.
17%
18°C
$333 KL.
3%
19°C
$248 KL.
1%
20°C or higher
$222 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northwesterly winds and spring warming are positioning 15–16°C as the most probable outcomes for Wellington’s maximum temperature on September 2.** Official MetService guidance forecasts a high of 15°C under fine conditions turning to scattered showers, with strong northwesterlies developing that can advect milder air while also enhancing mixing and limiting peak warmth. Complementary model runs from sources such as the UK Met Office align closely at 15°C, consistent with early-spring climatology where daily maxima in Wellington typically range 13–16°C. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors 16°C (64.5%) over 15°C (19%), likely incorporating uncertainty around exact station readings, minor forecast revisions, or brief clearer intervals allowing slightly higher values. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded by 9 a.m. the following day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,778Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northwesterly winds and spring warming are positioning 15–16°C as the most probable outcomes for Wellington’s maximum temperature on September 2.** Official MetService guidance forecasts a high of 15°C under fine conditions turning to scattered showers, with strong northwesterlies developing that can advect milder air while also enhancing mixing and limiting peak warmth. Complementary model runs from sources such as the UK Met Office align closely at 15°C, consistent with early-spring climatology where daily maxima in Wellington typically range 13–16°C. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors 16°C (64.5%) over 15°C (19%), likely incorporating uncertainty around exact station readings, minor forecast revisions, or brief clearer intervals allowing slightly higher values. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded by 9 a.m. the following day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$5,778Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Northwesterly winds and spring warming are positioning 15–16°C as the most probable outcomes for Wellington’s maximum temperature on September 2.** Official MetService guidance forecasts a high of 15°C under fine conditions turning to scattered showers, with strong northwesterlies developing that can advect milder air while also enhancing mixing and limiting peak warmth. Complementary model runs from sources such as the UK Met Office align closely at 15°C, consistent with early-spring climatology where daily maxima in Wellington typically range 13–16°C. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors 16°C (64.5%) over 15°C (19%), likely incorporating uncertainty around exact station readings, minor forecast revisions, or brief clearer intervals allowing slightly higher values. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded by 9 a.m. the following day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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