**Recent Met Office guidance and supporting model runs point to a mostly cloudy Wednesday in London with light morning rain possible before turning drier, limiting daytime heating under southwest breezes and producing a maximum near 21–23 °C.** This range aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 21 °C (38.5 %) and 22 °C (27.5 %), followed by 20 °C (23.0 %). Persistent cloud cover reduces incoming solar radiation while moderate winds enhance mixing, preventing the urban heat-island effect from pushing readings much above the mid-20s. Ensemble spreads remain modest only 24–36 hours ahead, but slight differences in rain timing and low-level moisture explain why 23 °C carries just 5.5 % and warmer outcomes are near zero. Traders are therefore pricing the highest temperature around the lower end of official guidance, reflecting both the current synoptic pattern and the narrow window before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on September 2?
Highest temperature in London on September 2?
21°C 39%
22°C 28%
20°C 24%
19°C 6.6%
MỚI
$22,770 KL.
MỚI
$22,770 KL.
Sep 2, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
7%
20°C
24%
21°C
39%
22°C
28%
23°C
6%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 39%
22°C 28%
20°C 24%
19°C 6.6%
MỚI
$22,770 KL.
MỚI
$22,770 KL.
Sep 2, 2026
17°C or below
$2,394 KL.
<1%
18°C
$1,510 KL.
1%
19°C
$1,253 KL.
7%
20°C
$4,879 KL.
24%
21°C
$3,333 KL.
39%
22°C
$3,979 KL.
28%
23°C
$1,936 KL.
6%
24°C
$1,545 KL.
2%
25°C
$1,316 KL.
<1%
26°C
$379 KL.
<1%
27°C or higher
$245 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Met Office guidance and supporting model runs point to a mostly cloudy Wednesday in London with light morning rain possible before turning drier, limiting daytime heating under southwest breezes and producing a maximum near 21–23 °C.**
This range aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 21 °C (38.5 %) and 22 °C (27.5 %), followed by 20 °C (23.0 %). Persistent cloud cover reduces incoming solar radiation while moderate winds enhance mixing, preventing the urban heat-island effect from pushing readings much above the mid-20s. Ensemble spreads remain modest only 24–36 hours ahead, but slight differences in rain timing and low-level moisture explain why 23 °C carries just 5.5 % and warmer outcomes are near zero.
Traders are therefore pricing the highest temperature around the lower end of official guidance, reflecting both the current synoptic pattern and the narrow window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$22,770Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Met Office guidance and supporting model runs point to a mostly cloudy Wednesday in London with light morning rain possible before turning drier, limiting daytime heating under southwest breezes and producing a maximum near 21–23 °C.**
This range aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 21 °C (38.5 %) and 22 °C (27.5 %), followed by 20 °C (23.0 %). Persistent cloud cover reduces incoming solar radiation while moderate winds enhance mixing, preventing the urban heat-island effect from pushing readings much above the mid-20s. Ensemble spreads remain modest only 24–36 hours ahead, but slight differences in rain timing and low-level moisture explain why 23 °C carries just 5.5 % and warmer outcomes are near zero.
Traders are therefore pricing the highest temperature around the lower end of official guidance, reflecting both the current synoptic pattern and the narrow window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$22,770Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Recent Met Office guidance and supporting model runs point to a mostly cloudy Wednesday in London with light morning rain possible before turning drier, limiting daytime heating under southwest breezes and producing a maximum near 21–23 °C.** This range aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 21 °C (38.5 %) and 22 °C (27.5 %), followed by 20 °C (23.0 %). Persistent cloud cover reduces incoming solar radiation while moderate winds enhance mixing, preventing the urban heat-island effect from pushing readings much above the mid-20s. Ensemble spreads remain modest only 24–36 hours ahead, but slight differences in rain timing and low-level moisture explain why 23 °C carries just 5.5 % and warmer outcomes are near zero. Traders are therefore pricing the highest temperature around the lower end of official guidance, reflecting both the current synoptic pattern and the narrow window before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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