Recent forecasts for São Paulo indicate a transition after a cold front and associated rain on September 1–2, with high pressure building to deliver clearer skies and moderating temperatures on the 3rd. Multiple models project a daily maximum in the 25–28 °C range, consistent with spring climatology where September highs average near 23 °C but can rebound quickly under subsidence. Key variables include daytime insolation under mostly sunny conditions, light northwesterly winds, and dew points in the mid-teens that limit extreme heating. Model consensus and recent runs favor 26–27 °C as the most probable outcomes, aligning with the market-implied probabilities that place these bins at the top. Updated guidance from official monitoring closer to the date will refine the exact peak.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 3?
27°C 41%
26°C 30%
28°C 17%
25°C 7%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
7%
25°C
7%
26°C
30%
27°C
41%
28°C
17%
29°C
5%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 41%
26°C 30%
28°C 17%
25°C 7%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
7%
25°C
7%
26°C
30%
27°C
41%
28°C
17%
29°C
5%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for São Paulo indicate a transition after a cold front and associated rain on September 1–2, with high pressure building to deliver clearer skies and moderating temperatures on the 3rd. Multiple models project a daily maximum in the 25–28 °C range, consistent with spring climatology where September highs average near 23 °C but can rebound quickly under subsidence. Key variables include daytime insolation under mostly sunny conditions, light northwesterly winds, and dew points in the mid-teens that limit extreme heating. Model consensus and recent runs favor 26–27 °C as the most probable outcomes, aligning with the market-implied probabilities that place these bins at the top. Updated guidance from official monitoring closer to the date will refine the exact peak.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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