Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European ensembles indicate an overnight low near 13–14°C for Mexico City on September 3, driven by the city's 2,240 m elevation, persistent cloud cover from the ongoing rainy season, and light winds limiting radiative cooling. Afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity further moderate temperature drops, consistent with September climatology where average lows range 10–13°C. Trader consensus around both sub-9°C and 18°C+ outcomes reflects model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact station measurement criteria, with new observational updates from local airports and satellite data expected to refine probabilities before midnight local time.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Mexico City on September 3?
8°C or below 78%
18°C or higher 78%
9°C 50%
10°C 50%
8°C or below
78%
9°C
50%
10°C
50%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
28%
15°C
27%
16°C
26%
17°C
4%
18°C or higher
78%
8°C or below 78%
18°C or higher 78%
9°C 50%
10°C 50%
8°C or below
78%
9°C
50%
10°C
50%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
28%
15°C
27%
16°C
26%
17°C
4%
18°C or higher
78%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European ensembles indicate an overnight low near 13–14°C for Mexico City on September 3, driven by the city's 2,240 m elevation, persistent cloud cover from the ongoing rainy season, and light winds limiting radiative cooling. Afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity further moderate temperature drops, consistent with September climatology where average lows range 10–13°C. Trader consensus around both sub-9°C and 18°C+ outcomes reflects model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact station measurement criteria, with new observational updates from local airports and satellite data expected to refine probabilities before midnight local time.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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