Forecast models from regional monitoring indicate a typical overnight low near 25°C for Panama City on September 4 amid the ongoing rainy season, with scattered showers and high humidity limiting radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover and light winds from the northwest further stabilize temperatures, consistent with September climatology showing average minima of 24–25°C. Trader consensus favoring 26°C as the leading outcome (51.5% implied probability) reflects alignment with current guidance, while elevated odds for 29°C or higher (40%) account for potential model spread or localized variability. Upcoming evening observations and refined runs will clarify resolution near the 25–26°C threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Panama City on September 4?
29°C or higher 90%
19°C or below 84%
21°C 56%
22°C 56%
19°C or below
84%
20°C
55%
21°C
56%
22°C
56%
23°C
56%
24°C
30%
25°C
39%
26°C
53%
27°C
35%
28°C
56%
29°C or higher
90%
29°C or higher 90%
19°C or below 84%
21°C 56%
22°C 56%
19°C or below
84%
20°C
55%
21°C
56%
22°C
56%
23°C
56%
24°C
30%
25°C
39%
26°C
53%
27°C
35%
28°C
56%
29°C or higher
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from regional monitoring indicate a typical overnight low near 25°C for Panama City on September 4 amid the ongoing rainy season, with scattered showers and high humidity limiting radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover and light winds from the northwest further stabilize temperatures, consistent with September climatology showing average minima of 24–25°C. Trader consensus favoring 26°C as the leading outcome (51.5% implied probability) reflects alignment with current guidance, while elevated odds for 29°C or higher (40%) account for potential model spread or localized variability. Upcoming evening observations and refined runs will clarify resolution near the 25–26°C threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp