Recent short-term forecast model runs show clearing skies over Wuhan by September 5 following several days of rain and cooler northerly flow, supporting trader consensus around 29–33°C. Subsidence under building high pressure, reduced cloud cover, and light winds favor daytime heating, yet lingering moisture and slight model spread in boundary-layer temperatures keep probabilities tightly clustered. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers projects highs near 30°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Yangtze valley where September daily maxima average 30–32°C. Upcoming afternoon updates from global models and local observations will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 5?
33°C 25%
34°C 23%
32°C 18%
30°C 14%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
14%
31°C
11%
32°C
18%
33°C
25%
34°C
23%
35°C
12%
36°C
6%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 25%
34°C 23%
32°C 18%
30°C 14%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
14%
31°C
11%
32°C
18%
33°C
25%
34°C
23%
35°C
12%
36°C
6%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecast model runs show clearing skies over Wuhan by September 5 following several days of rain and cooler northerly flow, supporting trader consensus around 29–33°C. Subsidence under building high pressure, reduced cloud cover, and light winds favor daytime heating, yet lingering moisture and slight model spread in boundary-layer temperatures keep probabilities tightly clustered. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers projects highs near 30°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Yangtze valley where September daily maxima average 30–32°C. Upcoming afternoon updates from global models and local observations will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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