Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs position a daily high near 92–94°F for Chicago on September 2, driven by persistent southerly flow and a lingering heat dome advecting warm, humid air from the southern Plains. Mostly sunny skies with southwest winds gusting to 25 mph should support peak temperatures in the low-to-mid 90s, well above the early-September climatological average of ~80°F. Trader consensus reflected in the 42% implied probability for 92–93°F and 30% for 94–95°F aligns with this guidance, while lower odds on 96°F+ outcomes account for modest forecast uncertainty from potential afternoon mixing or minor timing shifts in the frontal passage expected later in the week. Updated model runs and NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chicago on September 2?
Highest temperature in Chicago on September 2?
92-93°F 43%
94-95°F 36%
90-91°F 11%
88-89°F 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
8%
90-91°F
11%
92-93°F
43%
94-95°F
36%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
1%
102°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 43%
94-95°F 36%
90-91°F 11%
88-89°F 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
83°F or below
$172 KL.
<1%
84-85°F
$229 KL.
<1%
86-87°F
$296 KL.
3%
88-89°F
$317 KL.
8%
90-91°F
$42 KL.
11%
92-93°F
$123 KL.
43%
94-95°F
$438 KL.
36%
96-97°F
$58 KL.
6%
98-99°F
$194 KL.
1%
100-101°F
$60 KL.
1%
102°F or higher
$146 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs position a daily high near 92–94°F for Chicago on September 2, driven by persistent southerly flow and a lingering heat dome advecting warm, humid air from the southern Plains. Mostly sunny skies with southwest winds gusting to 25 mph should support peak temperatures in the low-to-mid 90s, well above the early-September climatological average of ~80°F. Trader consensus reflected in the 42% implied probability for 92–93°F and 30% for 94–95°F aligns with this guidance, while lower odds on 96°F+ outcomes account for modest forecast uncertainty from potential afternoon mixing or minor timing shifts in the frontal passage expected later in the week. Updated model runs and NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,076Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs position a daily high near 92–94°F for Chicago on September 2, driven by persistent southerly flow and a lingering heat dome advecting warm, humid air from the southern Plains. Mostly sunny skies with southwest winds gusting to 25 mph should support peak temperatures in the low-to-mid 90s, well above the early-September climatological average of ~80°F. Trader consensus reflected in the 42% implied probability for 92–93°F and 30% for 94–95°F aligns with this guidance, while lower odds on 96°F+ outcomes account for modest forecast uncertainty from potential afternoon mixing or minor timing shifts in the frontal passage expected later in the week. Updated model runs and NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,076Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs position a daily high near 92–94°F for Chicago on September 2, driven by persistent southerly flow and a lingering heat dome advecting warm, humid air from the southern Plains. Mostly sunny skies with southwest winds gusting to 25 mph should support peak temperatures in the low-to-mid 90s, well above the early-September climatological average of ~80°F. Trader consensus reflected in the 42% implied probability for 92–93°F and 30% for 94–95°F aligns with this guidance, while lower odds on 96°F+ outcomes account for modest forecast uncertainty from potential afternoon mixing or minor timing shifts in the frontal passage expected later in the week. Updated model runs and NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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