Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a highest temperature near 32°C in Beijing on September 5 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions driven by southerly flow and a lingering warm ridge. Recent days have featured highs of 30–33°C amid light winds and low humidity, consistent with early-September climatology where daily maxima average 26–28°C but can exceed 32°C during clear spells. Model spread of 1–3°C, combined with urban heat effects and exact station measurement criteria, produces closely matched implied probabilities across 29–33°C while limiting odds on extremes. Updated CMA guidance and refined model runs in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on September 5?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 5?
33°C 26%
34°C 26%
32°C 25%
31°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 5, 2026
28°C or below
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
11%
32°C
25%
33°C
26%
34°C
26%
35°C
9%
36°C
5%
37°C
6%
38°C or higher
7%
33°C 26%
34°C 26%
32°C 25%
31°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 5, 2026
28°C or below
$0 KL.
4%
29°C
$0 KL.
2%
30°C
$0 KL.
9%
31°C
$0 KL.
11%
32°C
$7 KL.
25%
33°C
$1 KL.
26%
34°C
$11 KL.
26%
35°C
$24 KL.
9%
36°C
$3 KL.
5%
37°C
$0 KL.
6%
38°C or higher
$0 KL.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a highest temperature near 32°C in Beijing on September 5 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions driven by southerly flow and a lingering warm ridge. Recent days have featured highs of 30–33°C amid light winds and low humidity, consistent with early-September climatology where daily maxima average 26–28°C but can exceed 32°C during clear spells. Model spread of 1–3°C, combined with urban heat effects and exact station measurement criteria, produces closely matched implied probabilities across 29–33°C while limiting odds on extremes. Updated CMA guidance and refined model runs in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$47Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a highest temperature near 32°C in Beijing on September 5 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions driven by southerly flow and a lingering warm ridge. Recent days have featured highs of 30–33°C amid light winds and low humidity, consistent with early-September climatology where daily maxima average 26–28°C but can exceed 32°C during clear spells. Model spread of 1–3°C, combined with urban heat effects and exact station measurement criteria, produces closely matched implied probabilities across 29–33°C while limiting odds on extremes. Updated CMA guidance and refined model runs in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$47Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a highest temperature near 32°C in Beijing on September 5 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions driven by southerly flow and a lingering warm ridge. Recent days have featured highs of 30–33°C amid light winds and low humidity, consistent with early-September climatology where daily maxima average 26–28°C but can exceed 32°C during clear spells. Model spread of 1–3°C, combined with urban heat effects and exact station measurement criteria, produces closely matched implied probabilities across 29–33°C while limiting odds on extremes. Updated CMA guidance and refined model runs in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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