**Forecasts for Guangzhou on September 3, 2026, center on a maximum near 30–31°C amid mostly cloudy skies and scattered rain chances, producing the tight clustering of market odds around those values.** Official guidance and ensemble models show a northerly flow with moderate humidity and precipitation probabilities of 30–77% on the day, which limits surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation. Historical September 3 averages reach 32.8°C, but the current pattern—following early-month rainfall—favors slightly suppressed maxima, consistent with recent model runs projecting 30–32°C highs. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 30°C and 31°C because small differences in cloud timing or shower intensity can shift the peak by 1–2°C; northerly winds and dew points near 22–23°C further constrain warming. With outcomes in the 45–55% probability band, the market reflects genuine uncertainty in mesoscale details that will be resolved only by updated short-range guidance closer to the date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 3?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 3?
30°C 25%
31°C 22%
29°C 17%
26°C 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
15%
27°C
10%
28°C
10%
29°C
17%
30°C
25%
31°C
22%
32°C
14%
33°C
9%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 25%
31°C 22%
29°C 17%
26°C 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
$0 KL.
1%
26°C
$35 KL.
15%
27°C
$27 KL.
10%
28°C
$46 KL.
10%
29°C
$0 KL.
17%
30°C
$0 KL.
25%
31°C
$2 KL.
22%
32°C
$0 KL.
14%
33°C
$71 KL.
9%
34°C
$11 KL.
4%
35°C or higher
$315 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts for Guangzhou on September 3, 2026, center on a maximum near 30–31°C amid mostly cloudy skies and scattered rain chances, producing the tight clustering of market odds around those values.**
Official guidance and ensemble models show a northerly flow with moderate humidity and precipitation probabilities of 30–77% on the day, which limits surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation. Historical September 3 averages reach 32.8°C, but the current pattern—following early-month rainfall—favors slightly suppressed maxima, consistent with recent model runs projecting 30–32°C highs.
Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 30°C and 31°C because small differences in cloud timing or shower intensity can shift the peak by 1–2°C; northerly winds and dew points near 22–23°C further constrain warming. With outcomes in the 45–55% probability band, the market reflects genuine uncertainty in mesoscale details that will be resolved only by updated short-range guidance closer to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$508Ngày kết thúc
Sep 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts for Guangzhou on September 3, 2026, center on a maximum near 30–31°C amid mostly cloudy skies and scattered rain chances, producing the tight clustering of market odds around those values.**
Official guidance and ensemble models show a northerly flow with moderate humidity and precipitation probabilities of 30–77% on the day, which limits surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation. Historical September 3 averages reach 32.8°C, but the current pattern—following early-month rainfall—favors slightly suppressed maxima, consistent with recent model runs projecting 30–32°C highs.
Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 30°C and 31°C because small differences in cloud timing or shower intensity can shift the peak by 1–2°C; northerly winds and dew points near 22–23°C further constrain warming. With outcomes in the 45–55% probability band, the market reflects genuine uncertainty in mesoscale details that will be resolved only by updated short-range guidance closer to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$508Ngày kết thúc
Sep 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts for Guangzhou on September 3, 2026, center on a maximum near 30–31°C amid mostly cloudy skies and scattered rain chances, producing the tight clustering of market odds around those values.** Official guidance and ensemble models show a northerly flow with moderate humidity and precipitation probabilities of 30–77% on the day, which limits surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation. Historical September 3 averages reach 32.8°C, but the current pattern—following early-month rainfall—favors slightly suppressed maxima, consistent with recent model runs projecting 30–32°C highs. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 30°C and 31°C because small differences in cloud timing or shower intensity can shift the peak by 1–2°C; northerly winds and dew points near 22–23°C further constrain warming. With outcomes in the 45–55% probability band, the market reflects genuine uncertainty in mesoscale details that will be resolved only by updated short-range guidance closer to the date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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