Current National Weather Service and local forecasts for Denver on September 3 project a daily low in the low to mid-60s°F under mostly clear skies and weak winds, consistent with a warm, stable air mass and limited radiational cooling. This places the most likely outcome near historical norms for early September but above the 1991–2020 average low of 54°F. Trader positioning shows elevated implied probabilities on both sub-54°F and 72°F+ extremes, reflecting model uncertainty in overnight boundary-layer cooling rates, subtle wind shifts, and any late adjustments to high pressure strength. Ensemble spreads and recent runs highlight how calm conditions could enhance cooling toward the lower bins while any increase in mixing or cloud cover would favor milder readings. Updated model guidance and surface observations through September 2 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Denver on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Denver on September 3?
72°F or higher 75%
70-71°F 49%
53°F or below 41%
60-61°F 28%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 3, 2026
53°F or below
41%
54-55°F
25%
56-57°F
24%
58-59°F
27%
60-61°F
28%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
49%
72°F or higher
75%
72°F or higher 75%
70-71°F 49%
53°F or below 41%
60-61°F 28%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 3, 2026
53°F or below
$53 KL.
41%
54-55°F
$53 KL.
25%
56-57°F
$2 KL.
24%
58-59°F
$2 KL.
27%
60-61°F
$2 KL.
28%
62-63°F
$2 KL.
25%
64-65°F
$2 KL.
14%
66-67°F
$2 KL.
8%
68-69°F
$10 KL.
14%
70-71°F
$10 KL.
49%
72°F or higher
$12 KL.
75%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and local forecasts for Denver on September 3 project a daily low in the low to mid-60s°F under mostly clear skies and weak winds, consistent with a warm, stable air mass and limited radiational cooling. This places the most likely outcome near historical norms for early September but above the 1991–2020 average low of 54°F. Trader positioning shows elevated implied probabilities on both sub-54°F and 72°F+ extremes, reflecting model uncertainty in overnight boundary-layer cooling rates, subtle wind shifts, and any late adjustments to high pressure strength. Ensemble spreads and recent runs highlight how calm conditions could enhance cooling toward the lower bins while any increase in mixing or cloud cover would favor milder readings. Updated model guidance and surface observations through September 2 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$151Ngày kết thúc
Sep 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and local forecasts for Denver on September 3 project a daily low in the low to mid-60s°F under mostly clear skies and weak winds, consistent with a warm, stable air mass and limited radiational cooling. This places the most likely outcome near historical norms for early September but above the 1991–2020 average low of 54°F. Trader positioning shows elevated implied probabilities on both sub-54°F and 72°F+ extremes, reflecting model uncertainty in overnight boundary-layer cooling rates, subtle wind shifts, and any late adjustments to high pressure strength. Ensemble spreads and recent runs highlight how calm conditions could enhance cooling toward the lower bins while any increase in mixing or cloud cover would favor milder readings. Updated model guidance and surface observations through September 2 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$151Ngày kết thúc
Sep 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and local forecasts for Denver on September 3 project a daily low in the low to mid-60s°F under mostly clear skies and weak winds, consistent with a warm, stable air mass and limited radiational cooling. This places the most likely outcome near historical norms for early September but above the 1991–2020 average low of 54°F. Trader positioning shows elevated implied probabilities on both sub-54°F and 72°F+ extremes, reflecting model uncertainty in overnight boundary-layer cooling rates, subtle wind shifts, and any late adjustments to high pressure strength. Ensemble spreads and recent runs highlight how calm conditions could enhance cooling toward the lower bins while any increase in mixing or cloud cover would favor milder readings. Updated model guidance and surface observations through September 2 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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