Recent National Weather Service and private model runs indicate Denver's overnight low on September 2 will likely settle near 59–60 °F under mostly clear skies, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 60–63 °F bins. Radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by light easterly flow and dew points in the mid-40s, preventing deeper drops while limiting daytime heat retention from the prior day’s 85–90 °F highs. Early-September climatology supports this range, with historical averages near 57 °F and minimal frontal activity expected before midweek. Traders are weighting ensemble guidance showing limited spread, though the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles could shift probabilities if moisture or wind forecasts evolve.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Denver on September 2?
66-67°F 73%
60-61°F 46%
62-63°F 46%
56-57°F 41%
53°F or below
12%
54-55°F
40%
56-57°F
41%
58-59°F
40%
60-61°F
46%
62-63°F
46%
64-65°F
37%
66-67°F
73%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
9%
72°F or higher
4%
66-67°F 73%
60-61°F 46%
62-63°F 46%
56-57°F 41%
53°F or below
12%
54-55°F
40%
56-57°F
41%
58-59°F
40%
60-61°F
46%
62-63°F
46%
64-65°F
37%
66-67°F
73%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
9%
72°F or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model runs indicate Denver's overnight low on September 2 will likely settle near 59–60 °F under mostly clear skies, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 60–63 °F bins. Radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by light easterly flow and dew points in the mid-40s, preventing deeper drops while limiting daytime heat retention from the prior day’s 85–90 °F highs. Early-September climatology supports this range, with historical averages near 57 °F and minimal frontal activity expected before midweek. Traders are weighting ensemble guidance showing limited spread, though the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles could shift probabilities if moisture or wind forecasts evolve.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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