Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a high of 27–29°C for Qingdao on September 5, 2026, under predominantly clear skies with light to moderate easterly or northeasterly winds. This aligns with early-September climatology, when the region transitions from summer humidity to drier autumn conditions and average highs sit near 26–28°C. No significant warm or cool advection is indicated in the latest model runs, keeping daily maxima within the narrow historical envelope for the date. Traders appear to weigh the consistency of these short-range guidance products, the low probability of unusual extremes given stable synoptic patterns, and the precise measurement criteria used by local stations when assessing implied probabilities for specific temperature thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 5?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 5?
29°C 37%
31°C 33%
30°C 26%
32°C 25%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 5, 2026
25°C or below
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
37%
30°C
26%
31°C
29%
32°C
25%
33°C
21%
34°C
18%
35°C or higher
20%
29°C 37%
31°C 33%
30°C 26%
32°C 25%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 5, 2026
25°C or below
$0 KL.
4%
26°C
$0 KL.
2%
27°C
$0 KL.
4%
28°C
$0 KL.
4%
29°C
$0 KL.
37%
30°C
$0 KL.
26%
31°C
$15 KL.
29%
32°C
$2 KL.
25%
33°C
$0 KL.
21%
34°C
$0 KL.
18%
35°C or higher
$0 KL.
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a high of 27–29°C for Qingdao on September 5, 2026, under predominantly clear skies with light to moderate easterly or northeasterly winds. This aligns with early-September climatology, when the region transitions from summer humidity to drier autumn conditions and average highs sit near 26–28°C. No significant warm or cool advection is indicated in the latest model runs, keeping daily maxima within the narrow historical envelope for the date. Traders appear to weigh the consistency of these short-range guidance products, the low probability of unusual extremes given stable synoptic patterns, and the precise measurement criteria used by local stations when assessing implied probabilities for specific temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$17Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a high of 27–29°C for Qingdao on September 5, 2026, under predominantly clear skies with light to moderate easterly or northeasterly winds. This aligns with early-September climatology, when the region transitions from summer humidity to drier autumn conditions and average highs sit near 26–28°C. No significant warm or cool advection is indicated in the latest model runs, keeping daily maxima within the narrow historical envelope for the date. Traders appear to weigh the consistency of these short-range guidance products, the low probability of unusual extremes given stable synoptic patterns, and the precise measurement criteria used by local stations when assessing implied probabilities for specific temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$17Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a high of 27–29°C for Qingdao on September 5, 2026, under predominantly clear skies with light to moderate easterly or northeasterly winds. This aligns with early-September climatology, when the region transitions from summer humidity to drier autumn conditions and average highs sit near 26–28°C. No significant warm or cool advection is indicated in the latest model runs, keeping daily maxima within the narrow historical envelope for the date. Traders appear to weigh the consistency of these short-range guidance products, the low probability of unusual extremes given stable synoptic patterns, and the precise measurement criteria used by local stations when assessing implied probabilities for specific temperature thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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