Recent official forecasts for Qingdao on September 4 point to clear skies with highs near 29–30°C under persistent northeast winds of 3–4 levels, typical for early September along the Yellow Sea coast where marine air moderates daytime maxima. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration shows limited variability, yet traders assign comparable weight to 31°C and 32°C outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island effects around measurement sites, or slight shifts in wind speed can push the daily peak across those thresholds. No approaching fronts or significant moisture advection appear in the latest runs, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 30–32°C band while lower and higher extremes remain marginal.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 4?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 4?
31°C 36%
32°C 33%
30°C 21%
33°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
26°C or below
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
21%
31°C
36%
32°C
33%
33°C
11%
34°C
3%
35°C
8%
36°C or higher
5%
31°C 36%
32°C 33%
30°C 21%
33°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
26°C or below
$0 KL.
2%
27°C
$0 KL.
1%
28°C
$200 KL.
4%
29°C
$303 KL.
4%
30°C
$2 KL.
21%
31°C
$0 KL.
36%
32°C
$0 KL.
33%
33°C
$0 KL.
11%
34°C
$142 KL.
3%
35°C
$0 KL.
8%
36°C or higher
$0 KL.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Qingdao on September 4 point to clear skies with highs near 29–30°C under persistent northeast winds of 3–4 levels, typical for early September along the Yellow Sea coast where marine air moderates daytime maxima. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration shows limited variability, yet traders assign comparable weight to 31°C and 32°C outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island effects around measurement sites, or slight shifts in wind speed can push the daily peak across those thresholds. No approaching fronts or significant moisture advection appear in the latest runs, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 30–32°C band while lower and higher extremes remain marginal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$647Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Qingdao on September 4 point to clear skies with highs near 29–30°C under persistent northeast winds of 3–4 levels, typical for early September along the Yellow Sea coast where marine air moderates daytime maxima. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration shows limited variability, yet traders assign comparable weight to 31°C and 32°C outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island effects around measurement sites, or slight shifts in wind speed can push the daily peak across those thresholds. No approaching fronts or significant moisture advection appear in the latest runs, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 30–32°C band while lower and higher extremes remain marginal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$647Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts for Qingdao on September 4 point to clear skies with highs near 29–30°C under persistent northeast winds of 3–4 levels, typical for early September along the Yellow Sea coast where marine air moderates daytime maxima. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration shows limited variability, yet traders assign comparable weight to 31°C and 32°C outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island effects around measurement sites, or slight shifts in wind speed can push the daily peak across those thresholds. No approaching fronts or significant moisture advection appear in the latest runs, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 30–32°C band while lower and higher extremes remain marginal.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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