Current forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 31°C for Tel Aviv on September 2 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. This setup favors modest daytime heating with low humidity and negligible precipitation risk. Market-implied odds favoring 33°C (60.5%) or 32°C (39%) reflect trader weighting of potential model underestimation from urban heat effects or slight warming in updated runs, while the slim probability for 34°C or higher accounts for forecast uncertainty ranges. Historical September averages near 30°C provide context, with resolution hinging on official station readings at peak afternoon hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 2?
33°C 61%
32°C 39%
31°C 2.4%
34°C <1%
$16,122 KL.
$16,122 KL.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
39%
33°C
61%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 61%
32°C 39%
31°C 2.4%
34°C <1%
$16,122 KL.
$16,122 KL.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
39%
33°C
61%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 31°C for Tel Aviv on September 2 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. This setup favors modest daytime heating with low humidity and negligible precipitation risk. Market-implied odds favoring 33°C (60.5%) or 32°C (39%) reflect trader weighting of potential model underestimation from urban heat effects or slight warming in updated runs, while the slim probability for 34°C or higher accounts for forecast uncertainty ranges. Historical September averages near 30°C provide context, with resolution hinging on official station readings at peak afternoon hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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