**Trader consensus centers on a 28°C high for Incheon on September 2, 2026, with 27°C and 29°C as secondary outcomes, reflecting model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international forecasts showing daytime maxima of 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies.** A moderating air mass following September 1 rainfall across central Korea, combined with light westerly to northwesterly winds and high humidity (70–85%), limits strong daytime heating and caps peaks near or slightly below seasonal averages. Recent observations at Incheon International Airport show morning temperatures climbing from the low 20s°C toward afternoon readings of 26–28°C, aligning with ensemble guidance that places the most probable maximum in the 27–29°C range. Low probabilities for 30°C or higher reflect limited instability and cloud cover reducing solar insolation, while colder outcomes remain unlikely given current thermal profiles. Updated model runs and official briefings through the afternoon will provide the final resolution data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 2?
28°C 47%
27°C 36%
29°C 11%
26°C 6%
$20,810 KL.
$20,810 KL.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
36%
28°C
47%
29°C
11%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 47%
27°C 36%
29°C 11%
26°C 6%
$20,810 KL.
$20,810 KL.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
36%
28°C
47%
29°C
11%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a 28°C high for Incheon on September 2, 2026, with 27°C and 29°C as secondary outcomes, reflecting model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international forecasts showing daytime maxima of 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies.** A moderating air mass following September 1 rainfall across central Korea, combined with light westerly to northwesterly winds and high humidity (70–85%), limits strong daytime heating and caps peaks near or slightly below seasonal averages. Recent observations at Incheon International Airport show morning temperatures climbing from the low 20s°C toward afternoon readings of 26–28°C, aligning with ensemble guidance that places the most probable maximum in the 27–29°C range. Low probabilities for 30°C or higher reflect limited instability and cloud cover reducing solar insolation, while colder outcomes remain unlikely given current thermal profiles. Updated model runs and official briefings through the afternoon will provide the final resolution data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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