Trader consensus heavily favors a 22°C minimum in Incheon on September 2 due to consistent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models showing overnight lows stabilizing near that level under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and high humidity typical of early September. Current observations and ensemble guidance indicate minimal overnight cooling, with temperatures holding in the low 20s Celsius through dawn. A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-expected radiative cooling under clearer skies, an unforecasted influx of cooler northerly air, or heavier localized precipitation altering the boundary layer—developments that remain low-probability based on the latest model runs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 2?
22°C 93%
21°C 5%
20°C <1%
19°C <1%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
93%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 93%
21°C 5%
20°C <1%
19°C <1%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
93%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a 22°C minimum in Incheon on September 2 due to consistent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models showing overnight lows stabilizing near that level under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and high humidity typical of early September. Current observations and ensemble guidance indicate minimal overnight cooling, with temperatures holding in the low 20s Celsius through dawn. A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-expected radiative cooling under clearer skies, an unforecasted influx of cooler northerly air, or heavier localized precipitation altering the boundary layer—developments that remain low-probability based on the latest model runs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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