Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a minimum temperature of 17–19°C in Paris on September 4 under clear to mostly clear skies and light-to-moderate westerly flow, with radiative cooling overnight supporting the market's tight clustering around 18°C and 19°C outcomes. These conditions reflect a modest warm anomaly relative to the 1991–2020 average low of 12.8°C, driven by persistent high pressure and dew points near 15–17°C that limit further cooling. Model consensus shows limited spread, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could nudge the official reading between the leading probabilities. Météo-France updates and final ensemble runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for any adjustment in trader positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 4?
17°C 43%
19°C 36%
18°C 33%
20°C 30%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
14°C or below
7%
15°C
9%
16°C
9%
17°C
43%
18°C
33%
19°C
36%
20°C
30%
21°C
9%
22°C
2%
23°C
8%
24°C or higher
7%
17°C 43%
19°C 36%
18°C 33%
20°C 30%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
14°C or below
$0 KL.
7%
15°C
$0 KL.
9%
16°C
$0 KL.
9%
17°C
$0 KL.
43%
18°C
$0 KL.
33%
19°C
$1,506 KL.
36%
20°C
$0 KL.
30%
21°C
$0 KL.
9%
22°C
$0 KL.
2%
23°C
$0 KL.
8%
24°C or higher
$0 KL.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a minimum temperature of 17–19°C in Paris on September 4 under clear to mostly clear skies and light-to-moderate westerly flow, with radiative cooling overnight supporting the market's tight clustering around 18°C and 19°C outcomes. These conditions reflect a modest warm anomaly relative to the 1991–2020 average low of 12.8°C, driven by persistent high pressure and dew points near 15–17°C that limit further cooling. Model consensus shows limited spread, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could nudge the official reading between the leading probabilities. Météo-France updates and final ensemble runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for any adjustment in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,506Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a minimum temperature of 17–19°C in Paris on September 4 under clear to mostly clear skies and light-to-moderate westerly flow, with radiative cooling overnight supporting the market's tight clustering around 18°C and 19°C outcomes. These conditions reflect a modest warm anomaly relative to the 1991–2020 average low of 12.8°C, driven by persistent high pressure and dew points near 15–17°C that limit further cooling. Model consensus shows limited spread, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could nudge the official reading between the leading probabilities. Météo-France updates and final ensemble runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for any adjustment in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,506Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a minimum temperature of 17–19°C in Paris on September 4 under clear to mostly clear skies and light-to-moderate westerly flow, with radiative cooling overnight supporting the market's tight clustering around 18°C and 19°C outcomes. These conditions reflect a modest warm anomaly relative to the 1991–2020 average low of 12.8°C, driven by persistent high pressure and dew points near 15–17°C that limit further cooling. Model consensus shows limited spread, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could nudge the official reading between the leading probabilities. Météo-France updates and final ensemble runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for any adjustment in trader positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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