Recent forecast models from European sources indicate a mostly cloudy day over Amsterdam on September 2 with light southwesterly flow and highs near 20–22°C, placing the modal outcome at 21°C. This aligns with early September climatology near 19–21°C but reflects mild ridging that limits stronger warming or cooling. Trader consensus at 47.5% for 21°C and 21% for 22°C incorporates model consensus on minimal cloud cover reduction and weak frontal activity, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers below 20°C or above 23°C. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum amid typical ensemble spread for coastal Netherlands conditions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 2?
21°C 48%
22°C 21%
20°C 15%
24°C 7%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
7%
20°C
15%
21°C
48%
22°C
21%
23°C
5%
24°C
7%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 48%
22°C 21%
20°C 15%
24°C 7%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
7%
20°C
15%
21°C
48%
22°C
21%
23°C
5%
24°C
7%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from European sources indicate a mostly cloudy day over Amsterdam on September 2 with light southwesterly flow and highs near 20–22°C, placing the modal outcome at 21°C. This aligns with early September climatology near 19–21°C but reflects mild ridging that limits stronger warming or cooling. Trader consensus at 47.5% for 21°C and 21% for 22°C incorporates model consensus on minimal cloud cover reduction and weak frontal activity, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers below 20°C or above 23°C. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum amid typical ensemble spread for coastal Netherlands conditions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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